From S2K Admins and Staff!
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
From S2K Admins and Staff!
For all of our members that are in the path of Charley we will keep you in our prayers. Please check in whenever you can. Stay safe!!
Last edited by Lindaloo on Fri Aug 13, 2004 11:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
- GulfBreezer
- Category 5

- Posts: 2230
- Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 8:58 pm
- Location: Gulf Breeze Fl
- Contact:
- cycloneye
- Admin

- Posts: 148496
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
I second what the above staff ladys said.Be safe and check in when you can.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- wx247
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 14279
- Age: 42
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
I agree. Do we know of any members who are in the evac. zones?
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Stay safe
My thoughts and prayers go out to all in the path of the storm. Take care and stay safe and let us know you are OK. Will continue to hope that charley goes poof. Unlikely but you never know. 
0 likes
- stormchazer
- Category 5

- Posts: 2462
- Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
- Location: Lakeland, Florida
- Contact:
I am about 20 miles inland. I think I will be good.
0 likes
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
- southerngale
- Retired Staff

- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
-
soonertwister
- Category 5

- Posts: 1091
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 2:52 pm
Rainband, are you going to get out when the mandatory evacuation order for your zone goes into effect at 6 am tomorrow?
I realize that you are on the second floor, but strange things can happen in a cane.
http://pascocountyfl.net/oem/sitrep5.pdf
I realize that you are on the second floor, but strange things can happen in a cane.
http://pascocountyfl.net/oem/sitrep5.pdf
0 likes
- southerngale
- Retired Staff

- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
- hurricanemike
- Professional-Met

- Posts: 197
- Joined: Wed Feb 25, 2004 11:33 pm
- Location: Jacksonville,FL Beaches/Duval County
- Contact:
Im standing by in the Jacksonville,FL area. I will be at work from 1 pm to 9 pm tomorrow then I will be up all night in my apartment @ the Jax Beaches area (Atlantic Beach).
Current Weather @ KNRB (Naval Station Mayport)
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KNRB.html
Current Weather @ KNRB (Naval Station Mayport)
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KNRB.html
0 likes
-
soonertwister
- Category 5

- Posts: 1091
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 2:52 pm
I am in evacuation zone A and we have been given a mandatory evac by 6am tomorrow. I think we are staying. We are about a mile and a half from Tampa Bay. Our house was built in 1995 and has many hurricane upgrades so I think it will be okay. My only worry is flooding. They are predicting a 14 ft surge within Tampa Bay.
I have a question - if I live 1 1/2 miles from the bay and the bay at our location has a 14 foot tide surge, how much of that surge will reach me if most of the area in between is 0 to 8 ft above sea level and my neighborhood is 10-12 ft.?
Thanks,
KayFL
I have a question - if I live 1 1/2 miles from the bay and the bay at our location has a 14 foot tide surge, how much of that surge will reach me if most of the area in between is 0 to 8 ft above sea level and my neighborhood is 10-12 ft.?
Thanks,
KayFL
0 likes
- southerngale
- Retired Staff

- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
soonertwister wrote:southerngale wrote:sooner...I got a red x with that link.
I'm guessing that you don't have a web browser plug-in to view Adobe pdf files...
Well, I did. I'm not surprised though...the idiot who custom-built my computer made me a piece of crap and then sold his business and took off to the Philippines. Every time I send it back to get it worked on, (they're supposedly "honoring" the warranty) it comes back with something else not working right. I don't even have JAVA on here anymore and it won't let me download it. I don't know how to fix any of it. Ugh...lesson learned and a lot of money lost.
0 likes
-
soonertwister
- Category 5

- Posts: 1091
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 2:52 pm
southerngale wrote:soonertwister wrote:southerngale wrote:sooner...I got a red x with that link.
I'm guessing that you don't have a web browser plug-in to view Adobe pdf files...
Well, I did. I'm not surprised though...the idiot who custom-built my computer made me a piece of crap and then sold his business and took off to the Philippines. Every time I send it back to get it worked on, (they're supposedly "honoring" the warranty) it comes back with something else not working right. I don't even have JAVA on here anymore and it won't let me download it. I don't know how to fix any of it. Ugh...lesson learned and a lot of money lost.
Find yourself a computer geek to be a friend. Ask people you know about who they know that is a wizard with computers. Meet that person and offer a small payment in return for their help, like a free barbecue or something, with trimmings.
You'd be surprised how many people out there are quite capable and more than willing to help.
0 likes
-
soonertwister
- Category 5

- Posts: 1091
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 2:52 pm
KayFL wrote:I am in evacuation zone A and we have been given a mandatory evac by 6am tomorrow. I think we are staying. We are about a mile and a half from Tampa Bay. Our house was built in 1995 and has many hurricane upgrades so I think it will be okay. My only worry is flooding. They are predicting a 14 ft surge within Tampa Bay.
I have a question - if I live 1 1/2 miles from the bay and the bay at our location has a 14 foot tide surge, how much of that surge will reach me if most of the area in between is 0 to 8 ft above sea level and my neighborhood is 10-12 ft.?
Thanks,
KayFL
Kay, since no one has responded I'm going to offer my own .02.
You are in an "A" evacuation zone, and at 6:00 am tomorrow if I understand correctly, everyone who is in an A or B zone will be under a mandatory evacuation order. I personally think it would be VERY foolish to stay where you are.
Have you made alternate plans? I would be next to impossible at this late time to find hotel accommodations anywhere near the Tampa area. If you have any family or friends a little ways inland I would suggest that you start by asking those folks to put you up for a short time. Don't risk being a statistic with this storm, it's just too much risk.
Storm surge into bays on the right side of a strong hurricane can be difficult to exactly predict ahead of time, and the evacuation zones are based upon probability. Based upon the probability zone that you are in, if you stay, you'd better be lucky or you'd better be a very good swimmer.
I'm not kidding, get your butt out of there, away from the coast and on higher ground. Your life may not depend on it, but it very well could. There's no reason for you to take that risk.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 83 guests



