to depict with consitency a pattern that would not bold well for the bahamas, Florida and the Gulf long term. The key here is a well established ridge along the eastern seaboard extending west would cause a scenario for Francis to move generally w/wnw across the bahamas, florida and into the Gulf. It's the forcasted synoptic pattern that concerns me as this would enable Francis to move west and into the Gulf....
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_312l.gif
00z GFS continues
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WeatherNole
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Yep . . .
That is a rather ominous looking model run - a similar track to a system from twelve years ago. We've had our "fun"(?) in Florida already. Time for it to go somewhere else.
For Charley, the trough was bad news, and a ridge would have been great.
The exact opposite may be true for Frances.
Come on shear!!
Mike
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For Charley, the trough was bad news, and a ridge would have been great.
The exact opposite may be true for Frances.
Come on shear!!
Mike
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