12Z GFDL edging closer to coast?

[Weatherboy1]

That's what it looks like to me, though I don't have these plots on a map just yet as they're hot off the press

HURRICANE FRANCES 06L

INITIAL TIME 12Z AUG 30

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 19.2 58.1 275./11.1
6 19.4 59.3 281./11.3
12 19.6 60.6 276./12.3
18 19.7 62.1 275./14.3
24 19.9 63.4 276./12.5
30 20.2 64.9 283./14.2
36 20.7 66.2 290./13.0
42 21.0 67.7 284./14.8
48 21.5 69.0 290./13.1
54 22.2 70.4 296./14.4
60 22.6 71.6 291./11.5
66 23.1 72.7 292./11.7
72 23.6 73.8 296./11.4
78 24.2 74.7 301./ 9.9
84 24.8 75.6 303./10.1
90 25.4 76.6 300./10.5
96 26.0 77.5 306./11.0
102 26.6 78.3 308./ 9.3
108 27.5 79.0 324./10.6
114 28.4 79.8 315./10.8
120 29.3 80.5 324./11.6
126 30.3 81.3 321./11.6

[PurdueWx80]

Whoa, barely east of Jacksonville at 126 hours!!

[caneman]

That's what it looks like to me, though I don't have these plots on a map just yet as they're hot off the press

HURRICANE FRANCES 06L

INITIAL TIME 12Z AUG 30

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 19.2 58.1 275./11.1
6 19.4 59.3 281./11.3
12 19.6 60.6 276./12.3
18 19.7 62.1 275./14.3
24 19.9 63.4 276./12.5
30 20.2 64.9 283./14.2
36 20.7 66.2 290./13.0
42 21.0 67.7 284./14.8
48 21.5 69.0 290./13.1
54 22.2 70.4 296./14.4
60 22.6 71.6 291./11.5
66 23.1 72.7 292./11.7
72 23.6 73.8 296./11.4
78 24.2 74.7 301./ 9.9
84 24.8 75.6 303./10.1
90 25.4 76.6 300./10.5
96 26.0 77.5 306./11.0
102 26.6 78.3 308./ 9.3
108 27.5 79.0 324./10.6
114 28.4 79.8 315./10.8
120 29.3 80.5 324./11.6
126 30.3 81.3 321./11.6

And what I think is significant to note is that they bring it in on or just a few miles from the coast in 4 and 1/2 days. While other models are still 5+ days out. This one seems to have a handle on the current speed.

[caneman]

Whoa, barely east of Jacksonville at 126 hours!!

It's worse than that. It is about 40 miles East of the Cape at 114 hours. We're talking 4 and 1/2 days or Friday evening..

[PurdueWx80]

Yeah, that track is I think the biggest fear on everyone's mind - Floydesque but 100 miles further west and the entire East Coast of FL is obliterated.