Couple wobbles but steady WNW movement

#1 Postby **EDR1222** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:53 pm

Still seems to be steady WNW if you look at a long loop. There were some wobbles, but it seems to be all it was. Last frame I saw might have even been more west than anything. Let the debate begin

#2 Postby **feederband** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:55 pm

Also if you don't look at a close up loop it looks like a solid wnw.

#3 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:56 pm

There have been a lot of wobbles, but the last 3 frames I've seen are closer to 280 than anything...still wobbles though. Of note, the 11 a.m. track from the NHC was a little south of where she was at the same longitude, but several hours too slow.

#4 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:57 pm

EDR1222 wrote:Still seems to be steady WNW if you look at a long loop. There were some wobbles, but it seems to be all it was. Last frame I saw might have even been more west than anything. Let the debate begin

Yea, that's what I thought also, but then I thought I seen the eyewall expanding to the north which made me think the last frame was to the north, but then it looks like it's to the west. Geez.... So which is it?

Hyperstorm · #5 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:58 pm

The system is NO LONGER moving in the direction it was moving toward early this afternoon. The degree of turn has definitely changed since midday. It looks to be much closer to the 300 degree heading than the 280 this afternoon. If it had been moving like earlier this afternoon, it would have struck the Bahamas already. However, the system is skirting "around" these islands, further signaling the more northward component of the motion.

You'll see in a couple of hours that it is true...

#6 Postby **feederband** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:59 pm

I just think we need some rest.

#7 Postby **EDR1222** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:00 pm

Definately without a doubt somewhere between due west and due north!
8-)

Anonymous · #8 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:06 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:The system is NO LONGER moving in the direction it was moving toward early this afternoon. The degree of turn has definitely changed since midday. It looks to be much closer to the 300 degree heading than the 280 this afternoon. If it had been moving like earlier this afternoon, it would have struck the Bahamas already. However, the system is skirting "around" these islands, further signaling the more northward component of the motion.

You'll see in a couple of hours that it is true...

Agree--it is on the track from 11pm last night as I noticed it was supposed to pass East of the Turks and Caicos... The track looks to me to be very Wobbly but is in general paralelling the bahamas--if this continues, Couldnt it miss fla all together and the GFDL be right and have it pass east of us saving Fla?

Hyperstorm · #9 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:11 pm

I don't think there's a chance of it missing Florida. The more "NW" motion simply means a more northern point of landfall IN Florida. If it were to go to the Carolinas, a NNW motion should have started already...

cebers01 · #10 Postby **cebers01** » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:16 pm

Think we'll see a more northerly component tonight... So GFDL might be more right on than it was as an outlier over the last couple days

Couple wobbles but steady WNW movement

Couple wobbles but steady WNW movement

Re: Couple wobbles but steady WNW movement

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