Tropical Systems Intensify More at Night?

[THead]

I heard local met brian norcross talking about this last night. He was saying tropical systems can actually have a better chance of intensification at night. His reasoning was that the water temp doesn't fluctuate as much as the air temps, so the diff between the warm water temps, and the cooler air temps, aids building of convection.

Not at all saying Frances is going to do this, think she has other issues eating away at her now.

Thoughts on this?

[THead]

I have my own thought, after re-hashing it in my head, I'm not really buying it. Seems to me if conditions are right for intensification, conditions are right, day or night, charley blew up right in the middle of the afternoon.

[sunflowerkist]

I heard local met brian norcross talking about this last night. He was saying tropical systems can actually have a better chance of intensification at night. His reasoning was that the water temp doesn't fluctuate as much as the air temps, so the diff between the warm water temps, and the cooler air temps, aids building of convection.

Not at all saying Frances is going to do this, think she has other issues eating away at her now.

Thoughts on this?

There are some hurricanes that intensify at night and there are others that weaken at day break and then feed off the heated atmosphere of the day. It is as individual a cycle as people have as to when they sleep best. But, I think that Frances causes of weakening are that she has been strong for over 7 days, and she is meeting up with some dry air in the atmosphere. Also the slow down in forward movement may mean she is cooling down her territory much faster than she is moving. She is so large in size that she is running out of warm real estate much faster. If you are in harms way do not let your guard down until it is past you.