Frances in the GOM now?

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Stormcenter
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Frances in the GOM now?

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:27 pm

I just replied to another that Frances was moving N or NNW and she probably NOT make it back out into the GOM. Well low and behold it sure looks she is entering the GOM right now. Am I right or wrong?


http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... itype=irbw

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmlb.shtml
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Opal storm

#2 Postby Opal storm » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:30 pm

Very close to exiting Florida,very close.Now looks like it's back on a westward track.
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#3 Postby FritzPaul » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:33 pm

You can get a better look at the center from Tampa:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/latest/D ... ktbw.shtml
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#4 Postby STORMSURGE » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:34 pm

yep by 11 pm she will be churning again.
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#5 Postby Frank P » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:59 pm

looks to be going wnw to me... center should be back out in water within the hour.... if it maintain present course and speed....
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#6 Postby MS GulfCoast » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:59 pm

I'm still very nervous about where Frances will go. Just a small move westward will bring her my way. Everyone seems to be looking at Ivan.
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#7 Postby Ixolib » Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:03 pm

MS GulfCoast wrote:I'm still very nervous about where Frances will go. Just a small move westward will bring her my way. Everyone seems to be looking at Ivan.


Hey GulfCoast - It appears that the NHC is pretty confident in its forecast for a Panhandle landfall. Thankfully, we're on the "right" side, so I decided this morning I was going to stop being nervous about this one. :) We'll just have to see what WLOX has at 10p. But, seems like things "should" be okay over this way...
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#8 Postby Frank P » Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:14 pm

I agree.... models are in good agreement.... its basically right on track per the NHC forecast... they're real confident about their forecast. and we'll be on the west side so that's all in our favor... not much to worry about right now... however, lets just see where it is in the morning, especially what direction its going...

center of rotation looks very close to the GOM from the last radar loops.
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#9 Postby Opal storm » Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:24 pm

Well,as I look at Frances I don't see much of a difference between the east side and the west side of the storm.And with it going back over water it will have time to get more of it's act together,maybe even wrapping more convection over to the west side of the storm.Overall,we're still gonna get some very heavy rain and strong north winds from this.
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