5-day Ivan cone now comes to the Southeast Florida coast

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Brent
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5-day Ivan cone now comes to the Southeast Florida coast

#1 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:14 pm

Good Evening Florida! :eek:

Image

Have a nice night.
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#2 Postby mkapw » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:16 pm

WOW !!!
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#3 Postby opera ghost » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:16 pm

Did someone plant a hurricane magnet in Florida when we weren't looking?
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#4 Postby Canelaw99 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:17 pm

We're still not IN the cone yet, so let me rest easy tonight LOL
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#5 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:18 pm

A good chunk of South Florida will almost certainly be in the cone at 5am.
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#6 Postby Canelaw99 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:19 pm

Brent - shush!
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#7 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:19 pm

So it goes from 150mph cane to a TS? Are you kidding me.
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#8 Postby SootyTern » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:22 pm

Not to get certain people who shall remain nameless worked up :P
but that specific track looks more like a SC/NC hit. Also rakes the same islands in the Bahamas that had to deal with Frances this week.
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#9 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:22 pm

Somethings wrong with the intensity forecast if they think it will go from cat 5 to ts. :eek: wtf is that all about?
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#10 Postby Indystorm » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:22 pm

The current NHC track takes the storm over the highest mountains of the Caribbean.....the Central Cordilla....over 10,000 feet.....which hopefully will rip the storm to shreds.....this is reflected by the reduction to a tropical storm.....It is expected to strengthen to a hurricane once again but hopefully it will not attain its monster strength. Still.....Floridians must be getting weary.
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#11 Postby TLHR » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:23 pm

Some of the mountains in Hispaniola top 10,000 feet.
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#12 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:24 pm

This is still a confusing stage becuz other models suggest Ivan will miss Hispanola
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#13 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:24 pm

It will NOT weaken to a TS moving at that speed. It will cross the DR in about 5 hours at the rate shown on that track, not nearly enough time to have a near 100mph wind decrease.

[EDIT]
Further evidence to disprove this crazy notion, look at Georges.

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif
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#14 Postby TLHR » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:29 pm

If you take a ruler and extend the last point, it looks like the FL/GA border is the target, which of course means it'll come to Wilmington....

:P
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#15 Postby mkapw » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:34 pm

Wilmington??? :grrr: Don't even think that! I'm liking our hurricane free NC year so far. Lets not mess it up! :D
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#16 Postby Cookiely » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:41 pm

With the amount of rainfall we have sustained, even a cat 1 next week could be really really bad.
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#17 Postby pbobbyp » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:41 pm

well considering south west, north west, and south east florida has been hit already this year to include the pan handle, it would only seem logical that good old mother nature may as well finish what she started and hit the northeastern coast of florida too. LOL as long as it goes into jacksonville and continues westward and not come my way in savannah
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#18 Postby Canelaw99 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:43 pm

pbobbyp - on that thinking, the Keys and extreme SE FL are in danger too because we haven't been hit yet - yikes! :lol:
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#19 Postby pbobbyp » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:44 pm

canelaw as long as florida keeps all of the hurricanes down there then the rest of us have nothing to worry about this year lol
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#20 Postby Canelaw99 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 11:28 pm

True!!! LOL See- we're doing nice things for y'all up there! :lol:
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