Interesting discussion..

[george_r_1961]

000
FXUS61 KAKQ 060728
AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
325 AM EDT MON SEP 6 2004

.SYNOPSIS...RTHR WET WEEK AHEAD AS TRPLCL MSTR FROM FRANCES PROGGED
TO MOVE N ALONG APPALACHIAN MTS. ATTN THEN TURNS TO IVAN...WHICH
APPRCHS THE SERN CONUS BY NXT WKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...GFS MODEL OF CHOICE AS ETA
CONTS TO HAVE PRBLMS WITH FRANCES. RTHR TIGHT PRS GRADNT BTWN HIGH
PRS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND / CAROLINA CSTL TROF & TS FRANCES WILL CONT TO
PRODUCE GSTY ONSHORE FLOW ALONG WITH PERIODIC SHWRS AS ATLNTC MSTR
GETS PULLED INLAND THRU TUE. HIGHEST POPS SRN ZONES. ENUF INSTAB
PROGGED TO KEEP CHC THUNDER OVR NC CNTYS. SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR ACROSS
LWR MD ERN SHORE AREA WHERE LOWEST POPS WILL BE. CLDS MAY ACTUALLY
BREAK OVR NE CNTYS AS DRIER AIR SEEN ON FOG PRDCT SAT LOOP COMES S.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...GFS TRACK OF TRPLCL MSTR FROM
FRANCES UP THE SPINE OF MTS...KEEPING DEEPEST MSTR JUST W OF AKQ FA
TUE THRU WED NITE. HOWEVER...TRACK OF SYSTM PRODUCES ENUF MSTR ACROSS
WRN CNTYS FOR LIKELY POPS...CHC POPS BASICALLY E OF I95.

&&

.MARINE...
STG ELY WINDS TDA...TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WHILE STILL REMAINING ONSHORE. AS A RESULT...SEAS...WHICH
HAVE BEEN RUNNING 8 TO 9 FT AT THE BUOYS...WILL ALSO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH...WHILE STILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE SCA CRITERIA FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO. WILL STILL BE RUNNING NEAR 5 FT TUE AND WED...BEFORE
SEAS INCREASE AGAIN WED AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...INTO THU...WITH
INCREASING SE AND S FLOW ON E FLANK OF REMNANTS OF ISABEL.&&

.AVIATION...IFR TO LOW MVFR CIGS THIS MORNING AS ELY FLOW HAS BROUGHT
IN STRATUS DECK. EXPECT THIS CEILING TO HANG IN OVER ALL BUT PERHAPS
SBY...WHERE LOWER DECK NOT AS PREVALENT...BUT ANY BREAKS SHOULD FILL
IN WITH CU.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...RIVER FLOOD WRNG CONTS FOR NOTTOWAY RIVER AT SEBRELL.
SEE LTST FLSAKQ FOR DETAILS. APPEARS TO BE A SOAKING RAIN FOR THE
MTS TUE AND WED. THUS...THE RUNOFF HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE...SO XPT RIVER
LVLS TO BE ON THE RISE LATER THIS WEEK.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...SCA CSTL WTRS.
NC...SCA CSTL WTRS AND CURRITUCK SND.
VA...SCA CSTL WTRS AND CHES BAY S OF SMITH PT.
&&

$$
SHORT TERM/LONG TERM/FIRE WEATHER...44
AVIATION/MARINE/HYDROLOGY...18





LOL the remnants of Isabel?

[Cookiely]

Deja Vu! Did Frances remind him of Isabel.

[Lowpressure]

That is too funny-Isabel.