Is Ivan taking the Southern NHC route?

HouTXmetro · #1 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 6:36 pm

If so, what are the implications down the road?

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 6:37 pm

Less chance of going over Hispanola. Less weakening.

canegrl04 · #3 Postby **canegrl04** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 6:38 pm

Greater chance of GOM entry

HouTXmetro · #4 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 6:40 pm

How about it taking Earl's path into Central America? Better yet, maybe it will crash into South America.

ROCK · #5 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 6:43 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:If so, what are the implications down the road?

I have been saying this over over on another news board out of Houston. One local news outlet (CH13) just said WE HAVE NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT.... YEAH RIGHT.... :grr:

Highly irresponsible if you ask me....

Ivan looks to be a NGOM or EGOM event to me.....just an opinion given the recent shifting of models.....

HouTXmetro · #6 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:29 pm

ROCK wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:If so, what are the implications down the road?

I have been saying this over over on another news board out of Houston. One local news outlet (CH13) just said WE HAVE NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT.... YEAH RIGHT.... Highly irresponsible if you ask me....

Ivan looks to be a NGOM or EGOM event to me.....just an opinion given the recent shifting of models.....

Yeah our local mets are always saying we don't have anything to worry about. (Except Neil Frank on 11)

ROCK · #7 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:31 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
ROCK wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:If so, what are the implications down the road?

I have been saying this over over on another news board out of Houston. One local news outlet (CH13) just said WE HAVE NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT.... YEAH RIGHT.... Highly irresponsible if you ask me....

Ivan looks to be a NGOM or EGOM event to me.....just an opinion given the recent shifting of models.....

Yeah our local mets are always saying we don't have anything to worry about. (Except Neil Frank on 11)

thats the board Im on...Neil knows better from his days at the NHC...

HouTXmetro · #8 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:34 pm

I can't stand 13 mets.. They are so cocky in their forecast and half of the time they are wrong. I remember last year when Claudette was getting dangerously close to Galveston, 13 mets were still in denial.

tdess02 · #9 Postby **tdess02** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:40 pm

Same thing here in South LA. Most local mets try to minimize any danger
when a storm is aimiing for us. I think its probably because we have had so many near hits. All its going to take is one major hit, and then they will all be crying wolf over every little tropical system that developes.

#10 Postby **BayouVenteux** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:40 pm

HouTXmetro wrote::eek: How about it taking Earl's path into Central America? Better yet, maybe it will crash into South America.

I wondered if the same thing was a possibility. As fast as Ivan is hauling, and with his proximity to the South American continent, what's to say that he couldn't just "go Earl" on us and keep rolling W? Besides a decent consenus of computer models, that is. :lol:

NFLnut · #11 Postby **NFLnut** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:42 pm

I'm telling you all right now .. it's going to be a Carolina storm!

ROCK · #12 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:44 pm

BayouVenteux wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote::eek: How about it taking Earl's path into Central America? Better yet, maybe it will crash into South America.
I wondered if the same thing was a possibility. As fast as Ivan is hauling, and with his proximity to the South American continent, what's to say that he couldn't just "go Earl" on us and keep rolling W? Besides a decent consenus of computer models, that is.

you seen the recent ones.....UKMET no longer the outliner shifting west over the YUC.....

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

nasty stuff and it has a SKULL IN IT.... :lol:

MBryant · #13 Postby **MBryant** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:44 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
ROCK wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:If so, what are the implications down the road?

I have been saying this over over on another news board out of Houston. One local news outlet (CH13) just said WE HAVE NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT.... YEAH RIGHT.... Highly irresponsible if you ask me....

Ivan looks to be a NGOM or EGOM event to me.....just an opinion given the recent shifting of models.....

Yeah our local mets are always saying we don't have anything to worry about. (Except Neil Frank on 11)

I'd trust Neil if I were you. He's GOOD.

#14 Postby **wx247** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:53 pm

I am wondering about the potential to be weakened by being in such close proximity to the South American coastline myself. Thoughts?

Guest · #15 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:00 pm

all models are agreeing right now its does look like it will possibly go into the GOM

Javlin · #16 Postby **Javlin** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 8:18 pm

Looks to me Ivan is starting to wrap up tight this may make SA less of a factor.The thing Iam interested in is the forward motion @ 24mph.Ivan might just out run himself.He can't keep this pace for to long maybe he's tring to make it through the Graveyard alive run like hell.

KeyLargoDave · #17 Postby **KeyLargoDave** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:09 pm

Didn't I just see the EURO bounce it off South America and THEN into Florida? None of the models on that spaghetti-run image look like the one I saw this afternoon.

#18 Postby **Roxy** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:17 pm

Neil is good, I always trust him. It should be interesting to see what happens.

#19 Postby **amawea** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:34 pm

HouTXmetro, Man Neil Frank! He was good when we lived down there, my folks and brother still live just outside of Baytown and my wifes brother lives in Bacliff. My job moved me to Arkansas several years ago but I talk to my Mom and Dad every weekend and sometimes more. I was down there when Neil was hired by channel 11 from the NHC. He's excellent.
I thought maybe he had retired by now.
amawea

panichead4469 · #20 Postby **panichead4469** » Mon Sep 06, 2004 11:05 pm

for all the crap that everyone gets on these boards for saying its HEADED WEST or ITS HEADED TO THE CAROLINAS , whatever happened to the good old days , say..any normal hurricane season where it was a matter of everyone being a FISHCASTER.....lets hope Ivan goes and finds frances in Europe or something...something romantic..lol

Is Ivan taking the Southern NHC route?

Is Ivan taking the Southern NHC route?

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Re: Is Ivan taking the Southern NHC route?

Re: Is Ivan taking the Southern NHC route?

Re: Is Ivan taking the Southern NHC route?

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