Ivan #5...shift to the right: Jamaica/Cuba

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ncweatherwizard
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Ivan #5...shift to the right: Jamaica/Cuba

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Tue Sep 07, 2004 10:35 am

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... /ivan.html

Sorry...little late but anyhow.

Intensity is uncertain because I don't know for certain if Jamaica will be a factor. Track is swaying with the models right now, which seem to have a decent general hold on this.
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Trader Ron
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#2 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Sep 07, 2004 10:47 am

I thought the NHC model shifted to the left at 11:00 AM :)
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#3 Postby ericinmia » Tue Sep 07, 2004 10:49 am

I agree that in the long term the general concensus and track wil shift to the right more, bringing this away from the GOM. Lets see what the 12z euro says...
-Eric
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#4 Postby CaneCurious » Tue Sep 07, 2004 10:49 am

They did.
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#5 Postby ncweatherwizard » Tue Sep 07, 2004 10:52 am

Trader Ron wrote:I thought the NHC model shifted to the left at 11:00 AM :)


They shifted to the left from their previous forecast. I shifted right from my forecast from last night--which was too far to the left. So in fact, my forecast is probably close to the NHC track.
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#6 Postby tdess02 » Tue Sep 07, 2004 10:56 am

The track at 11am ha sshifted to the left. What are you looking at that makes you think it shifted to the right?
These track fluctuations will continue until the models start to get a better handle on Ivan.
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#7 Postby x-y-no » Tue Sep 07, 2004 10:59 am

tdess02 wrote:The track at 11am ha sshifted to the left. What are you looking at that makes you think it shifted to the right?
These track fluctuations will continue until the models start to get a better handle on Ivan.


He's talking aout his forecast not the NHC forecast, tdess02.
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