If it hits Tampa area, how will East Coast FL be affected?

[chigger11]

Charley was much smaller, will PB county, treasure coast feel hurricane force winds if Ivan follows the NHC track? I just am considering the whole evacuation debacle, AGAIN, and wonder if Ivan does keep moving more west than the 5am track, will it be safe to stay put in PB county? I stayed through Frances and that was scary in my frame house. Opinions Please?

[Josephine96]

You may wanna consider leaving.. I do believe you'd get at least hurricane force winds

[Hateful]

how big is this thing?I am on the East Coast of Florida as well......

[caneman]

Charley was much smaller, will PB county, treasure coast feel hurricane force winds if Ivan follows the NHC track? I just am considering the whole evacuation debacle, AGAIN, and wonder if Ivan does keep moving more west than the 5am track, will it be safe to stay put in PB county? I stayed through Frances and that was scary in my frame house. Opinions Please?

It all depends on where it comes in at. My experience from being in both Charley as an evacue and Frances coming cross state at me that winds decrease around 40 mph. So lets say it hit 145 and crossed over to you it could be as much as 105 or as low as say 90 of course it all depends on how quickly its moving. I personally would stay put as you could end up evacuating right into the Hurricane. And you would be confidant enought in knowing that at least your house won't get blown down.

[CDO]

I've set up a cheap and dirty Excel sheet to see at what point a particular lat./long. point would be either in a storm's TS or hurricane winds. It makes a few assumptions, the earth is a perfect sphere, the paths between NHC prediction points are straight lines, etc. Based on the 160 mile TS radius, it seems that here in Miami we'd be in the TS radius from about 8:00AM until 10:00PM or so on Monday. That's based on the 11 AM advisory.