What can be expected at SW tip of Jamica?

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Rob Beaux
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What can be expected at SW tip of Jamica?

#1 Postby Rob Beaux » Thu Sep 09, 2004 6:59 pm

I have some relatives( my wife's cousin and her husband) that are staying at the Sandles resort at Negril, on the SW point of Jamica. They stayed too long and could not get a flight out. Hopefully, they will be staying in the hurricane shelter of the hotel. The husband is saying he will stay in the room. They just got married on Saturday and are on their honeymoon.

I am curious as to what sort of winds, surge and damage can be expected there. Thanks for the help.

I have been reading the site for a while but this is my first post.
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#2 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:00 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek:

It's going to be bad. It depends on the exact track, but the eye will pass within 50 miles of them barring a miracle.
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:05 pm

Absolutely they should stay at a shelter.

What conditions they experience is very dependent on the precise path of the storm. If it is just to the south of the island or directly across it, conditions will be very severe. If it is to the north, then they may experience as little as tropical storm force winds.

But the important point is that they absolutely must behave as if they will definitely experience the worst of the storm, because very small changes in course can make all trhe difference.
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#4 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:11 pm

Dude, if this is a serious request. Then you tell them to find a safe place in the center of the island, not flood prone, away from the high mountians, and inland away from the surge. A good concrete structure. If a cat 5 skims the southwest side, which i expect to happen. That entire island will be flattened. literaly flattened!!!
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#5 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:12 pm

They might not be leaving for awhile either due to the hurricane...
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#6 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:12 pm

Oh my LORD! I don't mean to be an alarmist, but the current track I have in mind would take the outer edges of the eyewall very close to there.
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#7 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:12 pm

HKY_WX2 wrote:Dude, if this is a serious request. Then you tell them to find a safe place in the center of the island, not flood prone, away from the high mountians, and inland away from the surge. A good concrete structure. If a cat 5 skims the southwest side, which i expect to happen. That entire island will be flattened. literaly flattened!!!


Underground if at all possible. This is EXTREMELY serious. They should have gotten out...
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#8 Postby al79philly » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:18 pm

The husband is saying he will stay in the room.


That is the stupidest thing I've ever heard... He would be safer going to a shelter and playing Russian Roulette with 3 bullets in the gun... At least he'd have a 50% chance that way....

You want to be a good family member? Tell him that, if the storm maintains its predicted track and intensity, and he doesn't leave the hotel room, he and his bride will most likely NOT BE COMING HOME AT ALL!!!!!
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#9 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:19 pm

I guess they'll be a number on the news Saturday then as in the death toll.

COMPLETELY IDIOTIC!!! I would have gotten my tail out of there yesterday.
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#10 Postby MBryant » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:23 pm

Cat 5 means caves and reinforced bunker time. Anything else is sheer stupidity.
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#11 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:25 pm

Wow....... theres no safe place to hide on that island unless you get underground......

Sorry
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#12 Postby al79philly » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:25 pm

Put it to him another way.... he has a giant F2/F3 tornado coming at him.... Except the tornado is miles wide... Would he stay in the hotel room if he saw a tornado coming....

Let us know what happens.... Our posts have been a little harsh, but we're being honest... They will probably be statistics if they stay in that room....
Last edited by al79philly on Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#13 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:25 pm

I wish i could be there for the storm. Afterwards would suck.
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#14 Postby Cape Verde » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:28 pm

Jamaica is the one place in Ivan's current path that we can say with certainty will be utterly devastated. I cannot believe anyone would have chosen to stay there even three days ago.<P>In all likelihood, your relatives will survive the storm, but it's possible they won't. Unbelievable.
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#15 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:28 pm

smokin wrote:I wish i could be there for the storm. Afterwards would suck.


Only if where I am is guaranteed to remain standing. :eek:
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#16 Postby Coldfront » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:29 pm

This is ghoulish, but for the families' peace of mind, they might want to write their names, contact ph #'s, etc... in marker on their bodies.

If they can't get underground, they might well become a statistic. God Forbid that should happen, but if it does, it makes identifying their bodies easier, and at least you'll have something to bury.

Sending prayers for all of those, visitors and locals alike, down there. :(
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#17 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:32 pm

Extrapolating its current motion, if it where to remain at this intensity..... the situation is deadly especially for Sw jamaica..... it would be utterly blasted by the northern portion of the eyewall and may very well bear the brunt of 140-155 MPH winds...... with gusts over 175 possibly...... nothing will be left standing
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#18 Postby Rob Beaux » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:32 pm

I lived threw Andrew in South Louisiana. I never got to talk to them, her father did. None of them have had anythign stronger than an inland tropical storm so they dont have a clue as to what to expect. You guys have confirmed by thoughts as to what they should expect. I will keep you informed if I hear anything at all.

To the few doubters on here...this is a true post, I only wish it was false. They are 21 years old and stupid. I told my mother in law to tell her father to tell her bye, to try to get here to come home. But it was too late for the flights.
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#19 Postby al79philly » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:33 pm

Last resort - try to get them arrested if they won't leave.... Maybe it would give them a chance....
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#20 Postby Anonymous » Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:35 pm

Tell them get into the (camp) inside stairwell, if there is one. Inside (fire escapes) stairwells, are cinder block encased structures, within the building. This will be a very safe place, but it will be quite noisy from the howling winds. The worse part will be the wind noise and the lost of power. They will be inside a concrete bunker, with no power/lights, and ungodly wind noise.

I JUST PRAY, THE FACILITY THEY ARE STAYING IN, HAS INSIDE STAIRWELLS, OR THEY WILL BE IN BIG TROUBLE.
Last edited by Anonymous on Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:42 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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