any trough coming down?

[HurricaneJoe22]

Is there any trough coming down or anything else that would sweep this to the NE?

[TSmith274]

Im in New Orleans and our local Fox8 meteorologist said that the trough has been a big disappointment(for us, not FL) in that it doesn't seem anywhere near strong enough to pick Ivan up. In fact, he said "there are no fronts in our future". I've noticed that our TV weatherpeople have become noticeably more concerned. Who knows what will happen? But the trough doesn't look like it's going to be as big of a player as was previously thought.

[LSU2001]

i spoke with an LSU grad student today(with the new hurricane center) about IVAN and he told me that most of the experimental models that they were working with show a north central gulf (LA,MS,AL) landfall. He did say that the models are highly experimental but have already shown to be more consistent than the ones used by NHC.
Just gossip but something to think about since LSU is on the cutting edge of hurricane technology.

[rtd2]

qoute" trough has been a big disappointment(for us, not FL) in that it doesn't seem anywhere near strong enough to pick Ivan up. In fact, he said "there are no fronts in our future". I've noticed that our TV weatherpeople have become noticeably more concerned. Who knows what will happen? But the trough doesn't look like it's going to be as big of a player as was previously thought."





If you look back My original track was L/F between N.O. nad P'cola and I'm sticking with it! I said for days models would shift left! the above statement is futher proof why I sticking with my track ....The models HAVE been terrible on trough and ridges this year!

[dennis1x1]

lsu has academics?

snicker.

j/k

but seriously....do they still give the term "grad student" to those who pass out at graduation and are still there in the morning?

[Sean in New Orleans]

LSU is on the cutting edge when it comes to hurricanes. I did an extensive phone interview with them ( they told me that they were doing 5,000 homes in SE Louisiana and I was randomly chosen), concerning hurricanes about 18 months ago. They had me on the phone for almost an hour answering detailed questions for their study. The results came out a few months back, and they were pretty bad concerning people's responses to an imminent hurricane threat in this area. The study also is involving going into hurricanes, traveling to other areas where hurricanes are striking (they were in Florida for Charley and Frances), among a host of other things.

[Novelty's Worn Off]

that was a little harsh! (but funny)

[Sean in New Orleans]

In answering the question---the trough does look weaker..it's certainly not impressive on radar. It wouldn't surprise me one bit, if this winds up having no bearing on Ivan. And this would be very interesting, IMO, because the trough is what the models are utilizing with the northward motion (which still hasn't materialized).