Jeannie - forecast to the right of GFDL and FSU Models

stormernie · #1 Postby **stormernie** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:54 am

Apparently the hurricane center is forecasting Jeannie future track to the left of all the models but to the right of GFDL and FSU Supermodel.

While we all know the issues with the GFDL and we will need to see future runs while are they basically ignoring the FSU Supermodel esemble. This model had the best performance to date especially with Ivan and Frances.

I truly believe unlike the other storms that the High Pressure ridge will be strong enough to steer this storm toward South Florida and the Keys.

I would like to hear what the other folks think as well as I ask Mike W. to add insight to this debate (if you want to call it that).

Ernie

yoda · #2 Postby **yoda** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:55 am

Well, here's what the 5 day track looks like...

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

#3 Postby **Portastorm** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:56 am

man, I sure would love to know what the FSU superensemble model is showing for Jeanne's track. Anyone know?

Guest · #4 Postby **Guest** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:57 am

It might miss PRico seems to be moving if moving at all to the NNW.

#5 Postby **jlauderdal** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:01 am

Portastorm wrote:man, I sure would love to know what the FSU superensemble model is showing for Jeanne's track. Anyone know?

similiar to gfdl per nhc 11 am disco. this model has been good this year but that doesnt mean it will be with this storm

#6 Postby **Canelaw99** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:02 am

I just posted about this in another thread...I found it interesting, and somewhat surprising, that they were going against the FSU model, myself. I thought that it did really well with the storms this year, and they seemed to like it....makes me wonder....

Jeannie - forecast to the right of GFDL and FSU Models

Jeannie - forecast to the right of GFDL and FSU Models

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