I firmly believe the Euro is struggeling with the current synoptic setup. These "models" run off of mathmatical equations... i belive the current and near future setup is too complex for it to deal with. It is not developing Jeanne, in any runs so far.. and it also is predicting a very quick point blank turn to the north... albeit at different points in the past few runs... whether it be 75 to 82 degrees west.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 00!!!step/
-Eric
New Euro... -> Guantanamo then straight north?
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