Wxrisks Jeanne analysis 9/20

[ameriwx2003]

Whether you agree with him or not, its always a good read:):)

http://www.wxrisk.com/hurricane/hurrica ... m#ANALYSIS: 

[BayouVenteux]

Whether you agree with him or not, its always a good read:):)

Yes, but it's his writng style...the manic street preacher/ mad genius locked in the basement vibe...that I personally find so endearing.

[Guest]

He basically just states the obvious..he drew up every scenario possible.

[FloridaDiver]

He basically just states the obvious..he drew up every scenario possible.

Besides his “questionable” writing skills, he does have a respectful track record on long range forecasts. However, it appears the last few systems he has been all over the place with his forecasts track. Of course to his defense so has the NHC, other forecasting agencies and not to mention the dizzy flip-flop of the major models. This will definitely be a year to remember…

[Stormsfury]

DT is one of the better MR specialists in the business ... and realized the Florida threat with Frances 9-10 days out BASED on synoptics alone ...

The recent struggles with Jeanne have baffled EVERYONE ... including myself, and DT's writeup regarding A + B + C + D formula tells it all ... and he has a great writeup today posted ...

SF

[Windsong]

DT just shoots from the hip...nothing wrong with that in my book.

[Guest]

He does well @ what he does.I have been reading his discussions for most of this season & the guy knows his stuff,but on this particular discussion he merely just pointed out every possible scenario known to mankind.

[Stormsfury]

He does well @ what he does.I have been reading his discussions for most of this season & the guy knows his stuff,but on this particular discussion he merely just pointed out every possible scenario known to mankind.

I get your point ... and basically, that's about what DT and myself, and many others are religated to right now ... speculation ...

[CaluWxBill]

He basically just states the obvious..he drew up every scenario possible.

Well that is what he does well, but I think he only puts forth 2 REAL possibilities. That is.

1.) The storm develops an anti-cyclonic movement and is positioned far enough south, to allow enough Westward propogation to hit the Eastern US.

2.) No anti-cyclonic movement develops, the next trough has an easier time digging it out, and takes Jeanne to Ireland.

[Guest]

Like I said he does a very good job explaining all the diffeernt situations that come with every storm & yes the way he says it in a no holds barred attitude is a breath of fresh air..Yes this storm (Jeanne) & its environment is complex & has baffled everyone.

[Steve Cosby]

...that I personally find so endearing.

Or incredibly irritating...

What serious discussion of meterological conditions begins with

There is some serious BS that is being shoveled out there

At least the muscled one keeps things light.

[Stormsfury]

DT's appropriately named website "WxRisk" tells his style ... and basically drives the point he wants to make across .. bluntly, and no holds barred ...

[ColdFront77]

Still have to use descent words, too. The internet is a form of the media. Meteorologists can't use certain words in their on air (TV and radio) reports.

[rbaker]

his ivan forecast was way off, he had it going no further than w coast of fla, and admited it on the radio. Said he paid too much attn to models and not attn to the synoptics of ivan.

[ameriwx2003]

At least the muscled one keeps things light

Yes, he does but he likes to go on tirades about things the TPC
did or said 2 or 3 years ago and won't let it drop and on occasion drags politics into his discussions. Thats the one thing and only thing that I have against the muscled one:):) . I like reading both J. B. and Wxrisk and find both very informative. Both are unique in there styles and both can irrate at times as well:):) Larry Cosgrove is a good read also and he pretty much just sticks to the points at hand and uses G language:):)