Shades of 1995

[mobilebay]

Wow!!! What a season this has been so for. I remember back at the end of July people was saying this season was going to be a dud. I remember people saying that SAL would inhibit development, Shear was to strong,ect. I remember a post by MWatkins in Mid/Late July intitled "the top is about to blow off boiling pot", boy was that ever accurate. Dr. Grey has been preaching for years that the US Coastline (particularly Florida) has been extremely lucky. Well the luck ended. Also, I have a bad feeling it is not over, I have a feeling somebody else along the US Coastline is going to recieve yet another bad blow. I think that this season has every chance to match that of 1995. Remember, we still have October wich has showed it can be pretty active during the Early/Mid part. I hear people saying it is too late for Texas. This is BULL. Until a Real Strong Front sweeps through the Atlantic these Highs will continue to build in, therefore leaving Texas wide open.
just my two cents. comments welcome...

[yoda]

I must agree. And the EC of the US (besides the Carolinas) have really gotten off the hook this season from any BIG CAT 2+ storms (besides Alex)

[mobilebay]

Also, someone correct me if I'm wrong, but from what model data I've seen, I don't see any strong Cold Front sweeping through in the near future. Wich would keep the Strong Westerlies for to the north.

[ColdFront77]

On September 21st, 1995... we were up to the "M" name... Marilyn.

That was after an August of Hurricane Erin, Felix, Humberto, Iris and Luis; as well as Tropical Storm Gabrielle, Jerry and Karen.

[Matthew5]

Then if the wave behind Lisa develops into Matthew we will be up where 1995 was. Lets see what storm gets my name first.

[mobilebay]

If my math is correct were only one storm behind (and it may be forming). Remember in 1995 the season started with a bang, this one did not. Wich only makes this more impressive. Another point is you cannot judge this season with any other because a season of this magnitude is VERY rare.

[Matthew5]

# Name Dates Wind Pres Cat
1 Hurricane ALLISON 03-06 JUN 65 987 1
2 Tropical Storm BARRY 06-09 JUL 50 995 -
3 Tropical Storm CHANTAL 13-20 JUL 60 992 -
4 Tropical Storm DEAN 28-31 JUL 40 999 -
5 Hurricane ERIN 31 JUL-03 AUG 75 975 1
6 Tropical Depression #6 05-07 AUG 30 1001 -
7 Hurricane FELIX 08-17 AUG 115 950 4
8 Tropical Storm GABRIELLE 09-12 AUG 60 988 -
9 Hurricane HUMBERTO 22 AUG-01 SEP 90 970 2
10 Hurricane IRIS 22 AUG-04 SEP 95 965 2
11 Tropical Storm JERRY 22-25 AUG 35 1003 -
12 Tropical Storm KAREN 26 AUG-03 SEP 45 1000 -
13 Hurricane LUIS 28 AUG-11 SEP 120 936 4
14 Tropical Depression #14 11-13 SEP 30 1009 -
15 Hurricane MARILYN 12-22 SEP 100 949 3
16 Hurricane NOEL 27 SEP-07 OCT 65 987 1
17 Hurricane OPAL 27 SEP-05 OCT 130 916 4
18 Tropical Storm PABLO 05-07 OCT 50 998 -
19 Hurricane ROXANNE 07-20 OCT 100 958 3
20 Tropical Storm SEBASTIEN 20-24 OCT 35 1004 -
21 Hurricane TANYA 27 OCT-02 NOV 75 974 1


If the wave behind Lisa develops over the next few days. Then that Gulf system becomes a "weak" tropical storm. We will be up easlie with 1995. Then we must find where is the "O" storm will form to keep that lead.

[James]

Imagine if we were to beat 1995 - more storms in 2/3 of the time. I wonder if we'll have any out of season storms, like last year.

[clueless newbie]

2004 already matched 1995 in the number of majors,
and exceeded in numbers of Cat4 and Cat 5.

I still think we will get at least one more major, and possibly two. Not sure about beating 19 TC, but as "quality" goes (intensity, landfalls), 2004 wins hands down.

[Hurricanehink]

We could get to the beginning of the alphabet... Well, all we have to do is get Matthew, Nicole, and Otto forming this month, not too hard since we could have Matthew from 93L, Nicole from Ivan 2, and another Cape Verde? In October, we would need Paula, Richard, Shary, Tomas, and Virginie. I know 5 in October seems like a lot, but 2001 had 5, too. November would need Walter and Alpha! There you go. It is very unlikely, but it still is theoretically, considering 2001 also had 2 Novembers, and last year had 2 Decembers... 1995 is still possible to be beaten. We may be peaking too early, though. 2002 saw an extremely active September, but nothing in October or November. I do have a feeling we will get a few more...

[Guest]

i remember last year... activity was spread throughout the whole season and we ended up with a bang. 2 storms in december. we also had the earliest tropical storm on record, ana in april.