Jeanne's strength at landfall..

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Josephine96

Jeanne's strength at landfall..

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:19 pm

lets' just say Jeanne does decide to visit Fla..

what will her strength be at landfall..

I'm predicting 120... what do you guys think..?
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charleston_hugo_veteran
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Re: Jeanne's strength at landfall..

#2 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:20 pm

Josephine96 wrote:lets' just say Jeanne does decide to visit Fla..

what will her strength be at landfall..

I'm predicting 120... what do you guys think..?


LOW 2
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adelphi_sky
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#3 Postby adelphi_sky » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:21 pm

High 2 low 3.
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Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:22 pm

Glad to hear some optimism here lol
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#5 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:25 pm

115 mph, Hurricane Fran incarnate...only this time not for NC, but for FL :(


Here's Fran from 1996...

Image


And here's Jeanne

Image
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#6 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:26 pm

Strong 2 or Weak 3. Hopefully not stronger. :eek:
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#neversummer
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Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:27 pm

I remember Fran too
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#8 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:28 pm

Cat 4 with landfall in Florida. Then stalls over that okechobe(sp) lake for a week.
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Josephine96

#9 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:29 pm

I hope you are trying to be humorous lol
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#10 Postby cape_escape » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:37 pm

NCstateWOLF wrote:Cat 4 with landfall in Florida. Then stalls over that okechobe(sp) lake for a week.


:eek: :eek: Not funny!!!
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cswitwer
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#11 Postby cswitwer » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:38 pm

I'm hoping for a strong 2 but beginning to fear a weak 3.
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Josephine96

#12 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:39 pm

Ditto.. I also still think Category 3
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#13 Postby mel38 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:39 pm

iagree that would be devastating here!
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Josephine96

#14 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:40 pm

A lot of people worried Ivan would be the peninsula's "knockout blow".. Jeanne might be it.. :eek:
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#15 Postby Buck » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:41 pm

125 - 130 mph.
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SouthernWx

#16 Postby SouthernWx » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:50 pm

Whenever a tropical cyclone turns westward underneath a building high pressure ridge over tropical waters...there's always the possibility of rapid deepening. Hurricane Andrew was a vivid example in 1992.

We're into late September now, so mercifully I don't believe a 150+ mph monster is possible in that area (at least I hope not)....but a landfalling major hurricane appears likely, and a 135-145 mph cat-4 isn't out of the question.

I'm currently forecasting 120 mph at landfall (between Fort Lauderdale and Stuart), but if the impact of dry air and shear are minimal....120 mph may well be a conservative forecast.
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Josephine96

#17 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:52 pm

Remember.. Gulf Stream waters are still pretty hot..
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#18 Postby mascpa » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:53 pm

Strong cat 2/weak cat 3
on my doorstep
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#19 Postby Wacahootaman » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:54 pm

I gotta a bad feeling about this one.

with that big high north of her enhancing her spin like an overdrive gear, no shear, and warmer water, and the dry air lessening, she could be a cat 4 at land fall.

Considering that she has been over the same area with upwelling cool water for many days, with dry air nearby and she has held her own and even gotten stronger, she is one together babe.

Cant say what will happen for sure in 2 days, but I will guess 140 at landfall.

I am Wacahootaman, a rank amateur and not a meterologist, and I approve this message.
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Josephine96

#20 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:54 pm

Well Mascpa.. I predicted landfall further north {see Jeanne #10}.. but we'll see
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