NEW VORTEX 9:07am PRESSURE DOWN AGAIN

[chris_fit]

URNT12 KNHC 251247
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 25/1247Z
B. 26 DEG 33 MIN N
77 DEG 03 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2695 M
D. 50 KT
E. 313 DEG 93 NM
F. 042 DEG 99 KT
G. 308 DEG 019 NM
H. 956 MB
I. 11 C/ 3077 M
J. 17 C/ 3085 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. OPEN NE
M. E05/40/30
N. 1234/7
O. 0.1/5 NM
P. AF963 2111A JEANNE OB 12
MAX FL WIND 100 KT NE QUAD 1111Z. MAX FL TEMP 19C 136/12NM FROM
FL CNTR.

;

[chris_fit]

Also to note. slight northward component since last fix, ACCORDING TO RECON.... via radar and sat. it looks due west.

[Tri-State_1925]

Open eyewall? That's surprising...

[ColinD]

B. 26 DEG 33 MIN N. Oooh, 4 minutes N. 26.6 rounded. :-P

[Anonymous]

The eyewall cant be open, reds are surrounding the eye. Interesting.

[PurdueWx80]

I think the recon report trumps what we see on a low-res satellite image. The eye is elliptical, oriented basically NE/SW with the major axis at 40 nm and minor at 30 nm. If the deepest colors on IR came right up to the edge of the eye, it would be closed, but it does appear that they are somewhat removed from this location.

[chris_fit]

Also looks like a wobble to the southwest on the last 3 frames of IR and WV

[Anonymous]

No I agree with them, I was just surprised.

[ColinD]

Looks open NE on radar.

[Anonymous]

You cant tell on radar, its too far out.

[LakeToho]

No wobble.. Look at the radar... It will give you updates quicker about 5 minutes behind.

[otowntiger]

That's just a one millibar drop from the last advisory. Not too noteworthy. When we see, 4-5 mb drops from one vortex report to another, then, we are talking some significant strengthening. I think she is strengthening for sure, but not rapidly and in my opinion not rapidly enough to make it to cat 4 by landfall. We shall see.

[PurdueWx80]

Use the radar at this range VERY cautiously..it is basically useless until Jeanne comes within the short-range regime. I noticed this jog to the SW in the last 3 frames of the high-res vis/IR as well - these jogs are very important right now. They actually may have something to do with land interaction since the eyewall is brushing the Bahamas.

Animate this: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[Brent]

It's only a matter of time before the winds catch up and this becomes a Cat 3.

[dhweather]

Yep, cat 3 is probably gonna be a reality at 1100.

[ColinD]

You cant tell on radar, its too far out.

I am looking at the Miami 248 nm radar and the eastern edge of the eye looks to be just inside that. I admit it's a tough call hence the phrase "looks open".

Never the less, the NE eyewall is open according to the guys flying near it. The fact that the temperatures are cold there does not make it "impossible".