7 AM JEANNE -- 100 MPH, 960 MB, WNW 12 MPH, 27.7 N; 81.4 W

[yoda]

Hurricane Jeanne Intermediate Advisory Number 51a


Statement as of 7:00 am EDT on September 26, 2004



...Jeanne weakens further over the central Florida Peninsula...wind
gusts to hurricane force in the Orlando area...

a Hurricane Warning remains in effect along the West Coast of
Florida from Englewood to the Suwanee River. A Hurricane Warning
also remains in effect for the Florida East Coast from Hallandale
northward to St. Augustine...including Lake Okeechobee. Warnings
may be discontinued later today along portions of the Florida East
Coast.

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect
from north of St. Augustine northward to Altamaha Sound Georgia.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the Florida Gulf
Coast south of Englewood to Chokoloskee...and north and west of the
Suwannee River to Destin. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in
effect north of the Altamaha Sound to the Savannah River.

At 7 am EDT...1100z...the center of Hurricane Jeanne was located
near latitude 27.7 north...longitude 81.4 west or over the central
Florida Peninsula about 10 miles north of Sebring Florida. This is
also about 50 miles south of Orlando Florida.

Jeanne is now moving west-northwest near 12 mph. A gradual turn
toward the northwest is expected during the next 24 hours. This
motion should bring the center of Jeanne across the Florida
Peninsula to near the Tampa Bay area later today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph...with higher
gusts. This makes Jeanne a category two hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Stronger winds...especially in
gusts...are likely to occur on high rise buildings. Jeanne will
continue to weaken today as the center crosses the Florida
Peninsula. However...winds of hurricane force are likely to occur
as far as 100 miles inland along the path of Jeanne.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles. Orlando International Airport recently reported sustained
winds of 56 mph with a gust to 78 mph.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb...28.35 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...will begin to subside along the Florida East
Coast. A storm surge of up to 5 feet above the present water level
is likely to occur mainly on the east side of Lake Okeechobee.

Tides of 2 to 4 feet above normal are possible in the warned area
along the Florida West Coast....and higher at the heads of bays.
Tide could possibly reach 3 to 6 feet in areas of onshore flow north
of Tampa Bay.

Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated higher amounts
...Are possible near the path of Jeanne over Florida.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of the central and
northern Florida Peninsula and southeastern Georgia today.

Repeating the 7 am EDT position...27.7 N... 81.4 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...100 mph. Minimum central pressure... 960 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 9 am EDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 11 am EDT.

Forecaster Beven

[ColdFront77]

The National Hurricane Center made a typo... "near latitude 27.7°N, 81.4°W," is not 50 miles south of Orlando, Florida; rather it is 60 miles south of Orlando.

[yoda]

The National Hurricane Center made a typo... "near latitude 27.7 north...longitude
81.4 west," is not 50 miles south of Orlando, Florida; rather it is 60 miles south of Orlando.

Ah, I see. Thanks for the heads up Tom!!!

[ColdFront77]

You're welcome.

Another interesting tidbit: 27.7°N 81.4°W is located in the northern portion of Lake Arbuckle, which is also
about 5 miles NW of Macdill Air Force Base Auxilary Field and/or (perhaps also called) Avon Park Air Force Base.

[yoda]

You're welcome.

Another interesting tidbit: 27.7°N 81.4°W is located in the northern portion of Lake Arbuckle, which is also
about 5 miles NW of Avon Park Air Force Base and/or (perhaps also called) Macdill Air Force Base Auxilary Field.

Again, thanks Tom. Where would we be w/o you?

[ColdFront77]

Curious to know if anyone has any comments on this...

The National Hurricane Center made a typo... "near latitude 27.7°N, 81.4°W,"
was not 50 miles south of Orlando; rather it was 60 miles south of Orlando.