What Will Be The 2005 Season Set Up?

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tropicstorm
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What Will Be The 2005 Season Set Up?

#1 Postby tropicstorm » Wed Sep 29, 2004 10:23 pm

Climatologically, what will be the set up for the 2005 hurricane season? How will the Nino/Nina/Oscillations behave? Westerlies & upper level wind shear? Bermuda High so dominant next year or weakening? SST's for Atlantic / Caribbean basin? Obviously, 2004 was a very active year for CONUS (Florida) landfalls - what are the expectations for 2005 -not predictions so much as climatology set up?
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#2 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 29, 2004 10:35 pm

Little too early to tell right now, but if the weak El Nino comes in, the season will probably be close to average(depends on the strength, if it's a strong one, it could be a below average year),
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#3 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Sep 29, 2004 11:14 pm

The 2005 name list doesn't usually get too far down. Plus, it wasn't until 1999 that a name was retired from the list (Floyd and Lenny)

1981: 11 named storms

1987: 6 named storms (Hurricane Floyd hits the Florida Keys as a category 1)

1993: 8 named storms (Emily makes a brief landfall on NC Outer Banks as a category 3)

1999: 12 named storms (Bret hits Texas as a category 3. Floyd hits NC as a category 2. Irene hits Florida as a category 1.)

1999 was the farthest they got down the list (Lenny).
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#4 Postby iluvseashore » Wed Sep 29, 2004 11:17 pm

where can i find which hurricane seasons were el nino years?
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