Why wave WILL probably develop...

[Anonymous]

Quite frankly, this is too big of a mess to just go away. Systems like Roxanne in 1995, Gordon in 2000, Larry in 2003, and Henri in 2003. Look at the satellite loops of them before they were even invests. They all began as a huge mess. That is what this is. And that is why I think it will develop.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/2003 ... race03.mpg --- WAVE IN CARIBBEAN IS FUTURE HENRI

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/2003 ... kate03.mpg --- Look at whats happening in the Caribbean

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/2000 ... ence00.mpg -- Look at the Caribbean

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/1992 ... anne95.mpg -- Huge mess, then a major hurricane.
ROXANNE..
You don't have to put on the red light
Those days are over
You don't have to sell your body to the night

Had to add that... I LOVE THE WAY EDDIE MURPHY DID IT... ONE OF MY FAVORITE FILMS.

[Sanibel]

Tough one. While the wave bears similarity to other forming events in this area at this time in the past, it still has a mottled dry sparseness that needs to deepen more. There's not too much robust convection anywhere in the Atlantic Basin right now...

[Downdraft]

Think it has to get away from the ULL to have any chance. Maybe in another day or two we'll see what happens.

[MortisFL]

GFS continues to show it develop and meander in the western GOM for a few days.

[birdwomn]

GFS continues to show it develop and meander in the western GOM for a few days.

Can we just shoot the GFS?

Sorry, I know you were only giving information which I really do appreciate.

[OtherHD]

And how many of these big messes have there been that did NOT develop?