Shear and the system...

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Anonymous

Shear and the system...

#1 Postby Anonymous » Sat Oct 02, 2004 8:24 am

The Bay of Campeche should be rather favorable for development the next few days. However, the north gulf may not be.

http://www.wunderground.com/data/640x480/atlm_shear.gif

My worst fear for this system (WORST CASE) would be it developing in the BOC, and not moving fast, over those 87 degree waters (WITH WARMER POCKETS) becoming a major hurricane, and then rapidly being pulled north. Now, (EXAMPLE) I am sure if it was 140 mph in the BOC, it would be more like 120 mph at the coast, however, that is not good. Any thinking on the shear?
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TS Zack
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Re: Shear and the system...

#2 Postby TS Zack » Sat Oct 02, 2004 9:30 am

Exactly right! How about it stay a Tropical Storm and weaken thats the best case. I am looking at the system now it has become one elongated line of Thunderstorms. Needs to be watched very closely.

I think it will form somewhere!
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