11 AM Hurricane Lisa=For the members who are in Europe

[cycloneye]

{Code}
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT OCT 02 2004

...LISA RACING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST...EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL TONIGHT OR SUNDAY...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 42.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.8 WEST OR ABOUT 585 MILES...
945 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LISA SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...42.0 N... 36.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA

TCDAT3
HURRICANE LISA DISCUSSION NUMBER 53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 02 2004

SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL THAT LISA HAS MAINTAINED A WELL-ORGANIZED
CLOUD PATTERN WITH AN EYE FEATURE AND AN ESTABLISHED UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT LISA IS STILL A 65-KNOT
HURRICANE AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...MOST RECENT IMAGES INDICATE THAT
THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEGUN TO DETERIORATE AND THE HURRICANE SHOULD
WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER COOLER WATERS.

LISA IS RACING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OR 60 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED
UNTIL IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL AND ABSORBED BY A LARGER
EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SO.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/1500Z 42.0N 36.8W 65 KT
12HR VT 03/0000Z 44.0N 32.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 03/1200Z 45.5N 23.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 04/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW


[/code]

[James]

Thanks for posting the advisory. Looks like Lisa may have a little something planned for us over here - although as an extratropical storm.

[cycloneye]

Thanks for posting the advisory. Looks like Lisa may have a little something planned for us over here - although as an extratropical storm.

Yes James bad weather for you in the UK.

[Rainband]

Stay safe.

[James]

Thanks