11:30 AM TWO=No development at western caribbean

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cycloneye
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11:30 AM TWO=No development at western caribbean

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 02, 2004 10:10 am

Code: Select all

ABNT20 KNHC 021501
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT OCT 02 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
LISA...LOCATED OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 585 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

THE MAIN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THEREFORE...DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. UPPER LEVEL WINDS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA


It has becomed an elongated area of convection and it is not moving away from centralamerica so unless a piece of that area moves away from land no development will occur.
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Sat Oct 02, 2004 10:11 am

good news!!! 8-)
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 02, 2004 10:13 am

Rainband wrote:good news!!! 8-)


Definitly good news as Floridians dont want another system to hit them.
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#4 Postby MWatkins » Sat Oct 02, 2004 10:23 am

Yep...none of the Global models from last night are developing this system like they were...and even their previous solutions were weak. Good news for folks in Mexico and south of there.

MW
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Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 02, 2004 10:24 am

The quiet in the tropics continues
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#6 Postby TS Zack » Sat Oct 02, 2004 10:24 am

Those thunderstorms may rotate around the ULL. The system entering the Caribbean seems to be really flaring even though Upper-level Shear is over the system. Another determined system.
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Guest

#7 Postby Guest » Sat Oct 02, 2004 11:41 am

good news and maybe it'll just pump some wave action.
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Sat Oct 02, 2004 11:50 am

If the drift is slow enough it could grab a second center. It's happened before. I'm surprised they don't leave the possibility open...
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Guest

#9 Postby Guest » Sat Oct 02, 2004 12:19 pm

I would like to see a Keys/SW Fla October hurricane..That would be a fitting end to the season..Lets make it a borderline CAT 1/2 storm.I think we can handle that.
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