What County in FL Gets Hit Most by Major Hurricanes?

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gatorcane
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What County in FL Gets Hit Most by Major Hurricanes?

#1 Postby gatorcane » Sun Apr 17, 2005 11:10 am

I would think its one of the following:

Palm Beach
Broward
Dade
Monroe (FL Keys)

Does anybody have this information? Does anybody have a list of the major hurricanes that hit these counties over the past 100 years and when they hit?
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cyclonaut

#2 Postby cyclonaut » Sun Apr 17, 2005 11:20 am

I had these statistics a while back,I think Miami-Dade might have a slight lead.Not sure though!
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cyclonaut

#3 Postby cyclonaut » Sun Apr 17, 2005 11:43 am

Actually these are the stats I had going back to 1900...

1.Monroe County (Fla Keys) - 10 MH
2.Miami-Dade County - 5 MH
3.Palm Beach County - 2 MH
4.Broward County - 1 MH
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Sun Apr 17, 2005 11:45 am

I found a table that shows the probabilities of any hurricane and of a major hurricane with winds of 111 mph or faster passing within 75 miles of the locations listed in any one year. These numbers are a measure of relative danger. Yes, it looks like Miami-Dade has the highest probability but the table does not have a county breakdown.

http://www.usatoday.com/weather/hurrica ... -table.htm
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#5 Postby gatorcane » Sun Apr 17, 2005 11:49 am

Thanks cyclonaut for the info:

Take a look at the table I inserted above....out of all the cities in the Continental U.S. and Caribbean, Miami has the highest probability of getting struck by a major hurricane at 11.1%. That is scary :eek:
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#6 Postby gatorcane » Sun Apr 17, 2005 11:51 am

I should also add that the 11.1% is within 75 miles of Miami. That puts West Palm Beach and all the way down to the middle Keys in the red zone :eek:
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#7 Postby MortisFL » Sun Apr 17, 2005 1:52 pm

Be nice to see the Dolphins get in the red zone this season.
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StormChasr

#8 Postby StormChasr » Sun Apr 17, 2005 3:04 pm

http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane/welcome.html

Here's Dr. Gray's spread sheet on Landfalls, and their probability, by Region number. Monroe County is #1, followed by Dade and Broward. In fourth place is Cartaret in NC (outer banks).
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#9 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Apr 17, 2005 3:38 pm

StormChasr wrote:http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane/welcome.html

Here's Dr. Gray's spread sheet on Landfalls, and their probability, by Region number. Monroe County is #1, followed by Dade and Broward. In fourth place is Cartaret in NC (outer banks).


Yep knew the Outer Banks had to be in the top 5... All this talk about Florida and everyone seems to forget North Carolina. Hit back to back 2 years in a row with Isabel and Alex.. If you want to be honest, Tropical Storm Gustav skirted past the area in 2002 as well... I have a feeling we will be back there this year as well..


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
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cyclonaut

#10 Postby cyclonaut » Sun Apr 17, 2005 5:55 pm

I guess the reason that much of the emphasis gets put on Miami (South Fla) year in & year out is because its what it is... Miami!

Miami & surrounding areas is a big population center compared to the Outer Banks of NC.

Throw into the mix that its a tourism mecca,is still growing & it sits in hurricane country in which in the past hurricanes have played a role in the city's growth or lack there of & you see why Miami gets precedence over other areas.
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StormChasr

#11 Postby StormChasr » Sun Apr 17, 2005 6:00 pm

http://www.hurricanecity.com/Rank.htm

I thought this was a very interesting way of analyzing the past performance in terms of landfalls, brushes, and "backdoor hits" for cities in terms of hurricane vulnerability. Notice how the Islands are so very vunerable, and we tend to forget that many tragedies happen in the Carribbean.
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Derek Ortt

#12 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Apr 17, 2005 6:59 pm

I think people forget about the Outer Banks because most of their hits come from the south; thus, the storm surge is not severe.

As we saw from Isabel, they cannot even sustain a category two strike from the east or SE. They are probably the most vulberable portion of the entire hurricane coats, because the OB are not soil based, but instead sand based
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Rainband

#13 Postby Rainband » Sun Apr 17, 2005 7:52 pm

buh bye :wink:
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StormChasr

#14 Postby StormChasr » Sun Apr 17, 2005 7:56 pm

I hope we have a cat5 hit.



He wants to get hit by 5 cats? :wink:
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Rainband

#15 Postby Rainband » Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:03 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek: Anyone who wants that needs some theraphy IMHO :wink:
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#16 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:41 pm

Anonymous wrote:I hope we have a cat5 hit.


Oh, you need to be hit all right.
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Anonymous

#17 Postby Anonymous » Sun Apr 17, 2005 9:25 pm

If Isabel was extensive, with 105 mph winds...imagine 140 mph winds on the Outer Banks. They would have a hard time recovering.
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Derek Ortt

#18 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Apr 17, 2005 9:35 pm

the outerbanks would not exist if a cat 4 ever did make landfall there. I am not even sure if they can survive a marginal category 3 landfall based upon how Isabel washed large portions of the islands away and leveled nearly everything else
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StormChasr

#19 Postby StormChasr » Sun Apr 17, 2005 9:43 pm

What was Floyd when it made landfall in that area?
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#20 Postby jdray » Mon Apr 18, 2005 8:07 am

Backdoor hits can be pretty nasty as well.

Frances kept NorthEast Florida under high winds for almost 3 days straight. Saturday - Tuesday morning.

While not as damaging as 100+ mph winds, 50-75mph winds sustained for 2+ days can still do a lot of damage.

the "scary" part?
http://www.hurricanecity.com/city/jacksonville.htm
Statistically when this area should be affected next
due in 2005 season


still ranked 41 of 50 top cities, yet we seem to be "missed" by every big storm.
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