Puerto Rico dodged the worse of the big rain event (Edited)

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Puerto Rico dodged the worse of the big rain event (Edited)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:23 pm

FXCA62 TJSJ 181825
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
230 PM AST MON APR 18 2005

.DISCUSSION...THE MOVEMENT OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED SOMEWHERE
ALONG THE EASTERN PART OF HISPANIOLA...HAVE MOVE VERY LITTLE AS
DEPICTED BY SCATTEROMETER LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. IT IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY CLOSER TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS INTO
THE MONA PASSAGE LATER TODAY. ANY WAY...SEEMS THAT THE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR TUESDAY...WEDNESDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEK WILL BE
ACTIVE OVER THE LOCAL AREA.

THERE ARE SEVERAL INTERRELATED FEATURES ASSOCIATED TO THIS. THESE
ARE...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...ABUNDANT MOISTURE...A STRONG SOUTHWEST
JET AND LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE OF THE WINDS. ASIDE OF THIS...GFS MODEL
GUIDANCE WHICH HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT PICKING UP THESE FEATURES
SUGGEST GOOD DYNAMICS TOMORROW...WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.

THE ABOVE INFORMATION SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF PERIODS OF VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL ESPECIALLY OVER PUERTO RICO...THE MONA PASSAGE AND
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. CONSEQUENTLY...I AM ADDING HEAVY
PRECIPITATION IN SOME OF THE GRIDS.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND THE SHOWERS MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW AND
SOMEWHAT ERRATIC. THIS ADD ANOTHER INGREDIENT TO THE URBAN AND/OR
FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL.

IN A LONG TERM BASIS...ALTHOUGH ERRORS MAY BE LARGE AT THIS
TIME...GUIDANCE SUGGEST A LOW LEVEL STREAM OF VERY MOIST AIR FROM
THE LOWER LATITUDES OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN AN
EVEN WETTER WEATHER PERIOD. HOWEVER...GRIDS FOR THIS PERIOD REMAIN
"CONSERVATIVE" BECAUSE THE UNCERTAINTIES WE CAN HAVE.

&&

.MARINE...VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY CAN
RESULT IN HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS DURING THIS WEEK ESPECIALLY
OVER THE MONA PASSAGE AND ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. THIS INCLUDE THE
POSSIBILITY OF WATERSPOUTS DEVELOPMENT DUE TO THE VERY UNSTABLE
LOCAL AIRMASS.

&&

.AVIATION...HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL RESULT IN LOW VISIBILITIES AND
CEILINGS ESPECIALLY FOR THE SECTORS OF PUERTO RICO.

&&

.CLIMATE...APRIL AND MAY RAINS ARE USUALLY HEAVY AND SEEMS THAT THIS
WILL BE THE CASE THIS WEEK.


Image

Great news for us as we were almost at the time of rationing of water as the lakes were going down.And also if you recall in my thread of the drought many fires caused by espontanious combustion were sparked by the dry spell.But as I said in that other thread what happens in the climate in Puerto Rico has no implications about how the hurricane season will be.What is happening in the first months of 2005 I consider it to be normal although March was a little bit below normal in terms of precipitation.Late April and May are one of the wettests periods in the year here followed by August and then October.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Apr 23, 2005 6:33 am, edited 5 times in total.
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#2 Postby x-y-no » Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:47 pm

Good news.

Enjoy it. :-)
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#3 Postby msbee » Mon Apr 18, 2005 3:43 pm

good news for you cycloneye.
can you send some of that our way?
unfortunately for us, we still have had no rain.
we need it badly. I have never seen the island so dry.
Barbara
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 18, 2005 3:45 pm

msbee wrote:good news for you cycloneye.
can you send some of that our way?
unfortunately for us, we still have had no rain.
we need it badly. I have never seen the island so dry.
Barbara


Hopefully some of this expected rainy weather gets into S.T Marteen too and aliviate the dry spell there.
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#5 Postby MGC » Mon Apr 18, 2005 4:20 pm

Good, droughts suck. Now go take a good long hot shower.....MGC
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#6 Postby msbee » Mon Apr 18, 2005 5:17 pm

some of it did get here, Luis
we just had a wonderful rainfall.
I hope we get more
Barbara
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 18, 2005 5:22 pm

msbee wrote:some of it did get here, Luis
we just had a wonderful rainfall.
I hope we get more
Barbara


Ok good to see that.Hopefully the rest of the week is rainy there as it will be here.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 18, 2005 8:47 pm

Tonight so far over 2 inches of rain has fallen at San Juan Airport and there is aflash flood watch that may go to warning if rain continues.At radar at top post you can see that rain at San Juan.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
925 PM AST MON APR 18 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH EFFECTIVE UNTIL 5:30 AM AST TUESDAY MORNING. THE WATCH
INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING AREA...

IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY.

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CAROLINA...SAN JUAN AND GUAYNABO

AT 9:15 PM...NWS DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND A FEW MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING TO MOVE FROM THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS...SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SAN JUAN METRO AREA...PRODUCING PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN. DOPPLER
RADAR ESTIMATES THAT ONE TO THREE INCHES OR RAIN HAVE FALLEN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE METRO AREA SINCE SUNSET...PRODUCING SOME SIGNIFICANT
URBAN FLOODING AND PONDING WATER ALONG ROADWAYS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
CURRENTLY APPEAR ON RADAR AND ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE METRO
AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY
IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED... ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN
AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Tue Apr 19, 2005 6:13 am

3.81 inches of rain fell in the San Juan Airport last night.More rain is expected today.I think that for all purposes the drought has terminated.
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#10 Postby Aquawind » Tue Apr 19, 2005 6:57 am

Wow soaker..Certainly will help a short term drought..if not a hydrological drought..Glad your getting some rains.. enjoy in moderation.. 8-)

Paul
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#11 Postby msbee » Tue Apr 19, 2005 8:39 am

wow, that's a lot of rain.
all we got was that one nice rainfall I mentioned before.
It's back to being sunny with no clouds today.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Tue Apr 19, 2005 1:51 pm


A COMPLEX MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE
DURING THE NEXT 3-5 DAYS. INITIALLY EXPECT A LONG WAVE
TROUGH TO EXTEND TO THE SOUTHWEST ALONG 35N 60W TO NORTH OF
HISPANIOLA...WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO EJECT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST USA BY 24 HRS. THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL THEN
MOVE ACROSS THE BAHAMAS...MEANWHILE INDUCING THE
RETROGRESSION OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH INTO THE BAHAMAS/
EASTERN CUBA BY 72 HRS. A SIMILAR EVOLUTION IS NOTED AT 250
HPA...WITH A SHORT WAVE EXTENDING SOUTH ALONG 80W TO
PANAMA/COSTA RICA. THIS FEATURE PERSISTS THROUGH 72-84 HRS.
THERE IS ALSO A SUBTROPICAL JET NORTH OF PUERTO RICO/
HISPANIOLA...WITH A CORE OF 90-100KT. THE VIRGIN ISLES-
PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA REMAIN ON THE RIGHT/DIVERGENT
ENTRANCE REGION OF THIS JET DURING THE CYCLE. AT LOW
LEVELS...EVALUATION OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER EQUIVALENT
POTENTIAL TEMPERATURE AND THE 1000-850 HPA THICKNESSES...
SHOW A PERSISTENT BOUNDARY ACROSS HISPANIOLA/JAMAICA INTO
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID/UPPER
TROUGH...A WAVE/LOW FORMS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO/HISPANIOLA BY 48 HRS...TO THEN EJECT TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST BY 72 HRS. THE SURFACE FRONT...MEANWHILE...
MEANDERS ACROSS HISPANIOLA...WHILE THE TAIL END RETROGRESSES
INTO EASTERN CUBA/SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

ALSO AT 850 HPA...UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE 500 HPA TROUGH
OVER THE BAHAMAS...AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL DIG NORTH FROM
NORTHERN COLOMBIA TO HAITI BY 42-48 HRS...TO PERSIST THROUGH
72-84 HRS. THIS TROUGH WILL INDUCE A SURGE OF ITCZ/NEAR
EQUATORIAL TROUGH MOISTURE ACROSS VENEZUELA INTO THE ABC
ISLES BY 42-48 HRS...WITH MOISTURE TO RAPIDLY SPREAD NORTH
INTO PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLES BY 72-84 HRS. DEEP
MOISTURE...GOOD JET DYNAMICS...AND A MEANDERING FRONT WILL
COMBINE WITH TOPOGRAPHICAL FORCING TO FAVOR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN ISLANDS DURING THE
NEXT 3-5 DAYS. GOOD DYNAMICAL SUPPORT WILL MAKE IT PRIME FOR
ORGANIZED RAINFALL OVER THIS AREA TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10-20MM/DAY. EXPECT MAXIMA OF 75-150MM
ACROSS HISPANIOLA BY 48-54 HRS. OVER EASTERN CUBA AND THE
SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS/TURKS AND CAICOS EXPECT RAINFALL MAXIMA OF
40-60MM DURING THE CYCLE. OVER PUERTO RICO EXPECT RAINFALL
ACCUMULATION OF 10-20MM/DAY...WITH RAINFALL MAXIMA OF 75-150
MM OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND 25-75 MM ALONG THE COAST THROUGH
54 HRS AND AGAIN BY 84 HRS. OVER THE VIRGIN ISLES EXPECT
MOSTLY LIGHT CONVECTION WITH ACCUMULATION OF 05-10MM/DAY
...AND WIDELY ISOLATED MAXIMA OF 25-50MM. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.


It looks like a wet next 5 days not only for Puerto Rico but in most of the Caribbean as a series of shortwave troughs will meaender around.Hopefully those islands that still are at a dry spell can get out of it with this wet weather.
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#13 Postby abajan » Tue Apr 19, 2005 9:49 pm

Glad to hear about all that rain in Puerto Rico, cycloneye. Enjoy it!

Thankfully, this year Barbados experienced the wettest January ever recorded. So the almost complete lack of rain since then hasn't affected us as badly as it could have, as far as the water reserves go. But it's so awfully dry outside and there are massive cracks developing in my garden. And everything is so brown...

Some plants like it this way, though. Take the desert roses, for instance. They're really blooming like crazy! And I know the mangoes from my tree are going to be very tasty this year. Just one problem... a couple days ago I saw a monkey in my neighbourhood and they love mangoes just as much as I do. :lol:

Anyway, I'm eagerly looking forward to a wet (though not necessarily active) hurricane season! (After the crazy season we had last year, I'll bet most of us are hoping for a quiet one this time around.)
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#14 Postby Rainband » Tue Apr 19, 2005 9:50 pm

Hoping for a quiet one here :wink:
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 20, 2005 6:11 am

abajan wrote:Glad to hear about all that rain in Puerto Rico, cycloneye. Enjoy it!

Thankfully, this year Barbados experienced the wettest January ever recorded. So the almost complete lack of rain since then hasn't affected us as badly as it could have, as far as the water reserves go. But it's so awfully dry outside and there are massive cracks developing in my garden. And everything is so brown...

Some plants like it this way, though. Take the desert roses, for instance. They're really blooming like crazy! And I know the mangoes from my tree are going to be very tasty this year. Just one problem... a couple days ago I saw a monkey in my neighbourhood and they love mangoes just as much as I do. :lol:

Anyway, I'm eagerly looking forward to a wet (though not necessarily active) hurricane season! (After the crazy season we had last year, I'll bet most of us are hoping for a quiet one this time around.)


Welcome Back my friend. :)

Below is the latest discussion from the NWS in San Juan that says more rain for the next 5 days.


000
FXCA62 TJSJ 200818
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
420 AM AST WED APR 20 2005

.DISCUSSION...MOST OF THE SHOWERS THAT WERE AFFECTING THE NORTHERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO HAVE MOVE NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS OR
DIMINISH. THE DOPPLER RADAR REPORTED NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS HAVE MOVE ACROSS THE ISLANDS OF
ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND CULEBRA. WIND WERE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

THE OLD COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT VERY SLIGHTLY
TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND THURSDAY AND BEGIN TO DECREASE
THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
FORM. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
TUESDAY...IT MAY BEGIN TO DRAW ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM SOUTH
AMERICA INTO THE LOCAL AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. ON SATURDAY...WE WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE JET STREAK GENERATING FAVORABLE DYNAMICS
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPMENT.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE EAST COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...TO JUST NORTH OF THE MONA PASSAGE AND INTO
THE LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
SLOWLY RETROGRADE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST TODAY...AS AN INDUCED LOW
LEVEL TROUGH MOVES WEST ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION. BANDS AND LINES OF
HEAVY SHOWERS...SOME WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS LATER TODAY AND PRODUCE POTENTIALLY
HAZARDOUS FLOODING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND
NORTHERN SECTIONS.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY. EARLY THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT...DANGEROUS
THUNDERSTORM COULD DEVELOP ACROSS OUR LOCAL WATERS...PRODUCING LOW
VISIBILITIES AND CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ACTIVE AFTERNOON REMAIN HIGH.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOIL SATURATED
AREAS...MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO. TUESDAY SHOWERS PRODUCED RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 2
TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN. TODAY'S WEATHER SCENARIO LOOK SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. THEREFORE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING AND
RIVER FLOODING REMAIN HIGH.



What a manner to end a drought with this kind of precipitation.
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#16 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 20, 2005 1:49 pm

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PRC007-021-031-033-039-047-051-061-087-091-101-105-127-135-137-139-
143-145-202100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1241 PM AST WED APR 20 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED AND EXPANDED
THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

* IN PUERTO RICO

DORADO
CAROLINA
CIALES
COROZAL
MANATI
AGUAS BUENAS
NARANJITO
MOROVIS
SAN JUAN
TOA ALTA
TRUJILLO ALTO
VEGA ALTA
BAYAMON
GUAYNABO
CATANO
VEGA BAJA
LOIZA
TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 500 PM AST

* AT 1209 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
AN AREA OF VERY HEAVY RAIN EXTENDING ACROSS SECTIONS OF THE
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...INCLUDING SAN JUAN AND VICINITY AND
MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THIS AREA WHICH WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.





This is the story this afternoon as many creeks and some rivers are almost out of their banks as rainfall of around 2 inches per hour is falling in many parts of the island.

Image
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#17 Postby msbee » Wed Apr 20, 2005 2:50 pm

wow!
It's feast or famine somehow isn't it?
send some our way.. we only had that one small rain.
hope that stuff is heading East
we are still dying over here :-)

Barbara
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 20, 2005 2:55 pm

msbee wrote:wow!
It's feast or famine somehow isn't it?
send some our way.. we only had that one small rain.
we are sttll dying over here :-)

Barbara


Ok I will send some rain to that island. :) But seriously this was the way I didn't want the drought to end because now the grounds are oversaturated and with only moderate rain flooding occurs.And the bad thing is that this bad weather will be with us until next sunday as an upper trough finds a home in the Carribean.
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#19 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 20, 2005 3:12 pm





000
FXCA62 TJSJ 201949
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
330 PM AST WED APR 20 2005

.DISCUSSION...ACTIVE WEATHER OCCURRED ACROSS PUERTO RICO AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY AS NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED
OVER THE INTERIOR SINCE MID TO LATE MORNING AND SLOWLY DRIFTED NORTH
NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID TO UPPER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.
EVEN VIEQUES RECEIVED A SHARE OF THE WEATHER. WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND IN FACT THEY
WILL FURTHER DETERIORATE.

IN THE SHORT TERM WILL EXPECT SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO
LINGER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND SOME OF THEM TO PERSIST
OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE
SOUTH AND EAST. POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING REMAINS HIGH ADDITIONAL RAIN
CELLS KEEP DEVELOPING OVER THE INTERIOR. THURSDAY PROMISES TO BE
ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINING ALMOST STATIONARY
TO THE NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO. I DON'T THINK WE WILL SEE THAT MUCH
RETROGRESSION OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRIDAY.

LONGER TERM BEGINNING ON FRIDAY WE WILL EXPERIENCE A SIGNIFICANT
INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTING FROM THE SOUTH...AS MOIST
AND EXPLOSIVELY CHARGED TROPICAL AIR FROM SOUTH AMERICA INTRUDES
INTO THE REGION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING NOT ONLY OVER PUERTO RICO
BUT ALSO ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE EAST COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...TO JUST NORTH OF THE MONA PASSAGE AND INTO
THE LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY TOP THE NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH
FRIDAY. BANDS AND LINES OF HEAVY SHOWERS...SOME WITH THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY AND
PRODUCE HAZARDOUS FLOODING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY. EARLY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...DANGEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY THE LOCAL NORTHERN WATERS
...PRODUCING LOW VISIBILITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO
WATER LIGHTNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
ISLAND OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING ALTHOUGH IT IS VERY
LIKELY TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
BETWEEN 2 TO 5 INCHES PER DAY ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.




How the circunstances change.In March everyone here was praying for rain and now the population wants the rain to stop.I was one who wanted the dry spell to end but not like what is happening now.
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msbee
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#20 Postby msbee » Wed Apr 20, 2005 3:28 pm

I know you didn't want the drought to end this way.
too much of a good thing causes too many problems. flooding is not what you want.
just normal rainfall please!
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