S. CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE HANGING.....

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dixiebreeze
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S. CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE HANGING.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat May 07, 2005 10:37 am

in there this morning. Don't think it will migrate to the Pacific:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF
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#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat May 07, 2005 10:40 am

Well, maybe it will migrate west -- at least it seems so in the 8 a.m. NHC Disc.:

CARIBBEAN SEA...
BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH MEAN
AXIS EXTENDING FROM E VENEZUELA NWD OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS INTO
THE W/CNTRL ATLC. THE MID/UPPER LEVELS REMAIN RELATIVELY
DRY WITH WEAK/MODERATE SUBSIDENCE COVERING MOST OF THE
CARIBBEAN...BUT IT IS MOISTENING UP AS TROPICAL MOISTURE IS
ADVECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH A LARGE CLUSTER OF
NUMEROUS MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION BEING GENERATED FROM 8N-13N
BETWEEN 76W-82W. EXPECT HEAVY SHOWERS/TSTMS TO MOVE INLAND
ACROSS PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS
AS THIS CLUSTER MOVES TO THE W. AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT OVER
THE W ATLC IS DISSIPATING OVER CUBA WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS
REMAINING ALONG THE N COAST OF THAT ISLAND. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL
WAVE CONTINUES TO PUSH WESTWARD ACROSS THE E/CNTRL CARIBBEAN
WITH ASSOCIATED AREA OF ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS UP TO 150 NM E OF
THE AXIS. MINIMAL SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED JUST TO THE E
OF THE WAVE AS IT TREKS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
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#3 Postby James » Sat May 07, 2005 2:04 pm

If it's gonna migrate it may well do it very slowly, but let's see what happens. It may just fizzle out on its own.
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