NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL912005) ON 20050515 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050515 1800 050516 0600 050516 1800 050517 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.1N 78.1W 14.8N 76.7W 15.8N 75.7W 17.0N 75.1W
BAMM 14.1N 78.1W 14.5N 77.2W 14.9N 76.4W 15.3N 76.2W
A98E 14.1N 78.1W 14.5N 77.6W 15.2N 77.5W 15.7N 77.3W
LBAR 14.1N 78.1W 14.8N 76.7W 16.2N 75.2W 18.1N 73.4W
SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 32KTS 34KTS
DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 32KTS 34KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050517 1800 050518 1800 050519 1800 050520 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.7N 74.2W 22.7N 65.8W 26.6N 52.4W 29.0N 43.8W
BAMM 16.3N 76.0W 17.7N 74.0W 18.1N 70.1W 18.1N 65.9W
A98E 16.0N 76.8W 17.2N 75.0W 18.2N 72.6W 19.1N 70.3W
LBAR 20.3N 71.2W 24.2N 65.5W 27.5N 59.3W 28.9N 55.3W
SHIP 37KTS 35KTS 25KTS 0KTS
DSHP 37KTS 35KTS 27KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.1N LONCUR = 78.1W DIRCUR = 65DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 13.7N LONM12 = 78.9W DIRM12 = 63DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 13.3N LONM24 = 79.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
In contrast to this mornings run this 1800 utc shows a little bit more development and if I see it right 37 kts?.But ship tends to overincrease intensity.
1800 UTC Model Guidance for 91L
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- cycloneye
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1800 UTC Model Guidance for 91L
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- cycloneye
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- Posts: 148503
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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It's very interesting that we are discussing in mid may about invest,model guidance,deep convection and the season has not started yet.
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- P.K.
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I know this is from 6 hours earlier but the global model only runs every 12 hours I believe:
535
WTNT80 EGRR 151724
MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
AND ATLANTIC
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.05.2005
NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP
IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS
THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT
MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK
TOO 151724
535
WTNT80 EGRR 151724
MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
AND ATLANTIC
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.05.2005
NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP
IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS
THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT
MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK
TOO 151724
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