Finnally the trade winds arrive at the Caribbean

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cycloneye
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Finnally the trade winds arrive at the Caribbean

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 26, 2005 3:23 pm

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 262014
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
415 PM AST THU MAY 26 2005





AFTER TWO WEEKS OR MORE OF UNUSUAL S TO SW LLVL FLOW...HIGH PRESSURE
IS GRADUALLY BUILDING BACK TOWARDS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND WILL
BUILD INTO THE LOCAL AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PRODUCE A MORE
TYPICAL EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW AND MORE TYPICAL WEATHER. A
TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO THE WINDWARDS THIS EVENING IS HELPING TO
PRODUCE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN THAT WILL SHIFT
FROM ACROSS THE LEEWARDS AND INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...AND
INTO PUERTO RICO FRIDAY. BEHIND THIS WAVE THAT WILL PASS GENERALLY
SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...IS A LARGE AREA OF AFRICAN
DUST THAT MAY AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS...AND DEFINITELY THE CARIB
WATERS TO THE SOUTH BY SUNDAY. ALL IN ALL...A TRANSITION TO SUMMER
TIME WEATHER DOMINATED BY REGULAR PASSAGE OF TROPICAL WAVES EMBEDDED
IN AN EASTERLY LOWER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW.


Finnally the summerlike pattern is arriving to Puerto Rico and adjacent islands a clear sign that hurricane season is almost here.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu May 26, 2005 7:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby dhweather » Thu May 26, 2005 3:29 pm

Well all the pieces seem to be coming together just in time!
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#3 Postby gatorcane » Thu May 26, 2005 3:35 pm

The Azores High is forecasted to build in a big way by this weekend...Look at some of the GFDL and BAM model runs....it's coming together as Hurricane season 2005 begins :D
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 26, 2005 7:11 pm

dhweather wrote:Well all the pieces seem to be coming together just in time!


Things may get going like last year by July 31 or earlier and that is the waiting game that we will be going thru.
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#5 Postby dhweather » Thu May 26, 2005 7:27 pm

Luis - I'm wondering if that's what we are going to see.
Things may take another month to get set up, and then
we just wait for a disturbance.
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#6 Postby abajan » Thu May 26, 2005 8:18 pm

Today was certainly a pleasant change from the light and variable winds Barbados has been experiencing over the last week or so.

On another note - For some reason honeybees have recently been swarming in great numbers here on the island. Some fishermen have spotted large swarms of them coming over the sea from the west (presumably from the islands to our west).

A local bee expert says that the bees are acting more agressively than usual and are also producing more honey than usual. He stated that, from his experience, this means that we're in for some bad weather this year. I think he also stated that another possible explanation is pending volcanic activity in the other islands. :eek:
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#7 Postby msbee » Fri May 27, 2005 7:15 am

trade winds? where?
still fairly "breezeless" here :lol:
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