With this thread I may be spoiling a party for those who want to see many systems but it is a reallity that the disturbances can get destroyed by this and derail an active Cape Verde season.
No matter if the waters are at 90 F,if the upper shear is less than 5kts,if no el nino is around and if surface pressures are low if we see many sal events that may change the whole notion of a very active Cape Verde season because the tropical waves that emerge Africa will clash against that big hurdle as the dry air entrains the disturbances as one example happened to TD#6 in 2003 which was forecast to become a hurricane entering the Caribbean Sea but dry air destroyed it.Let's see what happens in the next 5 months in the Atlantic and see how many dust storms come out of the Saharan Dessert.I think it was senorpepr in another thread who talked about how much rain has fallen in the Saharan Dessert and that data can determine how many sal events will occur in the next few months.



