To play the "devil's advocate" for a minute. I know everyone is excited about the first system of the year and all eyes are on the Caribbean. I would like to know if there are any scenarios that could keep 90L as it is or maybe a weak depression that nobody is talking about. I don't mean today but in a couple of days from now once it is in the Gulf. Stronger shear, weaker high, trough, upper low, etc. I have not read any discussions about the extended forecast conditions for the central gulf and would like to know. Thanks.Reasons why 90L will not make it...
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
CYCLONE MIKE
- Category 5
- Posts: 2183
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
- Location: Gonzales, LA
Reasons why 90L will not make it...
To play the "devil's advocate" for a minute. I know everyone is excited about the first system of the year and all eyes are on the Caribbean. I would like to know if there are any scenarios that could keep 90L as it is or maybe a weak depression that nobody is talking about. I don't mean today but in a couple of days from now once it is in the Gulf. Stronger shear, weaker high, trough, upper low, etc. I have not read any discussions about the extended forecast conditions for the central gulf and would like to know. Thanks.
0 likes
Dry Air
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/GMEXWV.html
When this thing makes into the GOM it is going to suck a bunch of dry air into it. It may be a tropical storm but convection is not going to 'wrap around'.
Just a thought.
When this thing makes into the GOM it is going to suck a bunch of dry air into it. It may be a tropical storm but convection is not going to 'wrap around'.
Just a thought.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 596 guests