I may spoil some partys here with this thread for some that wish to see something strong but the dry air factor has to be mentioned.
Extreme dry air is almost covering the gulf except for the SE part and this factor can be the cause for TD#1/Arlene to not be so strong when it makes landfall somewhere in the Gulf coast east of New Orleans.Already some of that dry air is near the center so let's see what that does to the system even if the upper winds become a bit more favorable in the next couple of days..