Interesting Swirl Along the NC Coast

[Thunder44]

Don't think this will be come a TS, but in interesting to watch nonetheless.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmhx.shtml

[drezee]

I believe low pressure did form last night. Buoys are clearly showing a closed LLC now!!


http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmhx.shtml

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/t-02/atl-neus.png

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/t-01/atl-neus.png

[drezee]

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
724 AM EDT SUN JUN 26 2005

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-NCZ045>047-080-081-093>095-103-261330-
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-WASHINGTON-
TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...
RIVER ROAD...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...
BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...
MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...
KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
724 AM EDT SUN JUN 26 2005

.NOW...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE COAST IS PRODUCING
AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN...LOCATED EAST OF A LINE FROM COLUMBIA TO HOBUCKEN
WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHWEST TO ALONG THE HIGHWAY 17
CORRIDOR THROUGH 930 AM. RESIDENTS CAN EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1/2 TO 1 INCH...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS DARE...HYDE...BEAUFORT...TYRRELL...AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES. WINDS WILL GUST TO 30 KNOTS ACROSS THE
OUTER BANKS AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND...IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS.

[Thunder44]

I believe low pressure did form last night. Buoys are clearly showing a closed LLC now!!


http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmhx.shtml

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/t-02/atl-neus.png

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/t-01/atl-neus.png

That site won't let you hot link.

[drezee]

717
WHXX01 KWBC 261228
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL942005) ON 20050626 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050626 1200 050627 0000 050627 1200 050628 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 35.1N 76.2W 36.8N 76.5W 38.0N 76.4W 39.1N 76.1W
BAMM 35.1N 76.2W 36.4N 76.8W 37.6N 77.2W 38.7N 77.3W
A98E 35.1N 76.2W 37.6N 76.5W 39.2N 75.6W 40.3N 74.0W
LBAR 35.1N 76.2W 37.1N 76.4W 38.7N 76.4W 39.9N 75.8W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 27KTS 26KTS
DSHP 25KTS 25KTS 27KTS 28KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050628 1200 050629 1200 050630 1200 050701 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 40.3N 75.3W 42.8N 70.2W 43.9N 61.1W 44.5N 51.8W
BAMM 40.1N 77.1W 43.3N 72.9W 45.2N 64.2W 46.7N 54.1W
A98E 40.8N 72.5W 40.6N 71.1W 42.9N 64.7W 46.4N 50.4W
LBAR 40.8N 74.6W 42.2N 69.5W 41.2N 63.1W 38.6N 58.8W
SHIP 24KTS 23KTS 22KTS 17KTS
DSHP 29KTS 30KTS 29KTS 29KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 35.1N LONCUR = 76.2W DIRCUR = 350DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 32.1N LONM12 = 75.7W DIRM12 = 351DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 29.8N LONM24 = 75.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 35NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....

[drezee]

Looks like a TD to me!!

[drezee]

Cape Hatteras at 8:51am EDT
Wind: 24 mph / 39 km/h from the NE
Wind Gust: 34 mph / 56 km/


6:51 AM 73.9 °F / 23.3 °C 73.0 °F / 22.8 °C 97% 30.01 in / 1016.2 hPa 1.0 miles / 1.6 kilometers ENE 24.2 mph / 38.9 km/h 35.7 mph / 57.4 km/h 1.17 in / 3.0 cm Rain Heavy Rain

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looking at that radar it doe's show that it has some what of a cirualtion. In with that northeast wind over the north quad. Maybe it did tighten its self a broad low level cirulation as it went in. Its possible.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

What ever it was it made landfall. The center by model placement was right in the center. 35/76.5

So we got 35 mph winds out of the northeast over the northeast quad. While a ship report(c1kn7) over the southwest side of the system. With the wind moving out of that one from the southwest.

[Trader Ron]

What ever it was it made landfall. The center by model placement was right in the center. 35/76.5

Call it what you want. I told someone on Friday, in a private message, that it would be nothing more than a lil wind and a lil rain.

[drezee]

TraderRon,

That would be statisically the most probable solution given the time of year and other historical factors. Not to mention the fact that the ULL had to either turn tropical or get out of the way in time. If any person said that any tropical disturbance over a given season would not develop, then they would be right over 90% of the time on average.

[Trader Ron]

drez, Yep. I went back 51 years. In only FOUR of those years, did we have TWO named storms in June.

[Brent]

Really doesn't matter... all a TD is is rain and squalls anyway.

[Trader Ron]

Well there were some folks "chomping at the bit" on Friday.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I don't think this will mean anything to you but take a look.

Southwest quad

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=clkn7

Northern quad
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=ducn7

Southeast quad
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41025

[dhweather]

Well there were some folks "chomping at the bit" on Friday.

The bloodthirsty savages of storm2k can wait no more for activity
in the ATL. THE NATIVES ARE RESTLESS!!!!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like the outter banks are getting hit pretty good. Heavy rain with 20 to 25 mph winds. With gust to 35 mph.

[seahawkjd]

Ironically, we got a heck of a lot more out of the nor-easter that came through in early may. That thing gave the outer banks and eastern nc 70 mph winds, flooding, etc.