TD3 10PM CDT NHC Probabilities

[dhweather]

WTNT73 KNHC 050226
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON JUL 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.7 WEST

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CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT THU JUL 7 2005

LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

27.6N 90.9W 43 X X X 43 NEW IBERIA LA 5 22 1 X 28
29.4N 91.2W 13 16 1 X 30 PORT ARTHUR TX 1 15 2 1 19
31.0N 90.7W X 17 4 2 23 GALVESTON TX 1 9 2 2 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X 5 3 2 10
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 1 3 5
ST MARKS FL X X X 5 5 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 2 2
APALACHICOLA FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 4 5
PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 6 8 GULF 29N 87W X 1 5 4 10
PENSACOLA FL X 1 6 5 12 GULF 28N 89W 16 4 1 X 21
MOBILE AL X 4 8 4 16 GULF 28N 91W 38 1 X X 39
GULFPORT MS X 10 6 3 19 GULF 28N 93W 21 4 1 X 26
BURAS LA 5 14 2 1 22 GULF 28N 95W 1 4 2 2 9
NEW ORLEANS LA 3 18 2 1 24 GULF 27N 96W X X 1 2 3

COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED
C FROM 7AM WED TO 7PM WED
D FROM 7PM WED TO 7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT


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FORECASTER STEWART