Cindy-any chance of eastward turn BEFORE landfall?

[rockyman]

Good Morning, All!

Cindy is looking quite healthy this morning...though she seems to be a little weak on the west side...I don't know much about steering currents...but the deeper steering layers do seem to veer to the NE right at the coast...Anyone think that Cindy will turn east of due north before making landfall in SE LA? This would give her a little more time over water...

Also...does anyone think Cindy could stall? It's been a while since we've seen a system sit and spin at the coast...and, after all, it's July and not September

[Brent]

I doubt it turns before the coast(even the NHC track inland is more gradual).

It won't stall. Should be moving over 10 mph and probably closer to 15 mph when it comes in.

[x-y-no]

I doubt it turns before the coast(even the NHC track inland is more gradual).

It won't stall. Should be moving over 10 mph and probably closer to 15 mph when it comes in.

Agreed. And she's intensifying steadily, so may be right around the threshold of hurricane strength at landfall.

[Dean4Storms]

My Concerns exactly. The NHC has been left of the track to this point with it's own projections and I still see many models including the GFS turning Cindy more NNE soon and bringing her near Mobile, AL. Looks very plausible to me, especially with her convection all on the east side.

[LAwxrgal]

With her intensification, it's plausible. Stronger storms tend to turn east quicker.

She's already moving due north, pretty much, which was sooner than forecast last night.

[skysummit]

I highly doubt she'll be a hurricane before landfall. She would need to increase a whole 30mph over the next few hours and she doesn't look too good right now. It doesn't seem like she can get wrapped.

[Rainband]

I highly doubt she'll be a hurricane before landfall. She would need to increase a whole 30mph over the next few hours and she doesn't look too good right now. It doesn't seem like she can get wrapped.

never say never

[Stormcenter]

Check the sat. loop below and you can see that Cindy looks like she is strenghthening (IMO) and also still moving NNW. If she hooks NNE or NE it will be after she makes landfall on the LA. coastline.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

[LAwxrgal]

Check the sat. loop below and you can see that Cindy looks like she is strenghthening (IMO) and also still moving NNW. If she hooks NNE or NE it will be after she makes landfall on the LA. coastline.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

Where's her center? She looks elongated.

[Rainband]

Check the sat. loop below and you can see that Cindy looks like she is strenghthening (IMO) and also still moving NNW. If she hooks NNE or NE it will be after she makes landfall on the LA. coastline.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

Where's her center? She looks elongated.

thats what i said

[Agua]

According to the 7 a.m. advisory, and my own eyes, she's moving due north and already east of track. My opinion as to where she goes is neither helpful, nor informed.

[Stormcenter]

Check the sat. loop below and you can see that Cindy looks like she is strenghthening (IMO) and also still moving NNW. If she hooks NNE or NE it will be after she makes landfall on the LA. coastline.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

Where's her center? She looks elongated.

thats what i said

I see it clearly.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

[Steve]

I've got it at about 26.7N, 90.47W as of the last availble Goes8 Visible zoom.

Steve

[HollynLA]

According to the 7 a.m. advisory, and my own eyes, she's moving due north and already east of track. My opinion as to where she goes is neither helpful, nor informed.

Looks to me like it's right on track, not east of it.

[Agua]

That sounds reasonable.

[Agua]

According to the 7 a.m. advisory, and my own eyes, she's moving due north and already east of track. My opinion as to where she goes is neither helpful, nor informed.

Looks to me like it's right on track, not east of it.

If you plot out the location on the 7 a.m. advisory as compared to the track, it is slightly, ever so slightly east of it: maybe a whopping 10 miles.

[Nimbus]

She is moving right along in the early morning visibles.
Looks like she is near buoy 42001.

[Steve]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

Use the visible floater loop and click the right-most box (Trop Fcst Pts) and you'll see the hurricane center's indicated positions in relationship to the storm. It's fairly close and maybe a hair east.

Steve

[LSU2001]

Looks to me that she is trying hard to wrap up. She still has some time over very warm water.
Comments Please:

[dixiebreeze]

Good Morning, All!

Cindy is looking quite healthy this morning...though she seems to be a little weak on the west side...I don't know much about steering currents...but the deeper steering layers do seem to veer to the NE right at the coast...Anyone think that Cindy will turn east of due north before making landfall in SE LA? This would give her a little more time over water...

Oh yeah, just follow the wind pattern.

Also...does anyone think Cindy could stall? It's been a while since we've seen a system sit and spin at the coast...and, after all, it's July and not September