Dennis forecast #4: Tense moments in South and Central FLA

[Josephine96]

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
HURRICANE DENNIS
NJN WEATHER CENTER
THURS JULY 7TH 2005

Dennis has undergone huge ramifications today and is now a major hurricane and may be a real threat to the sunshine state or at least the Florida Keys.

Hurricane warnings are out for the Keys and Tropical Storm Watches are out for the southern part of the Florida Peninsula.

Dennis "bombed" as a result of continuing to wrap storms around his eye and warm waters and very little shear aloft. Thus allowing him to become a major category 3 storm.

The track from the NHC is now currently centered on the Florida panhandle and may be shifted even further east with time. But that may not occur.

Dennis may still strengthen before he passes over Cuba, then gets into the extremely warm GOM waters.

Dennis is already causing those across Florida to stock up on supplies as well.

Dennis should continue to strengthen and my forecast has Dennis threatening somewhere between the West Panhandle to as far east as the Big Bend area. Possibly as high as a Category 4.

But storms seem to weaken in the GOM when they approach the coast, prime examples are Ivan, Lili and Arlene.

Here is my experimental forecast on Dennis: Note track errors may extend out by 100's of miles.

Tonight: Nearing Cuba, strengthening a little more. Max Winds:120 mph
Friday: Crossing Cuba, maybe losing some strength. Max Winds: 110 mph
Saturday: Into the Eastern GOM.. Florida on Alert. Max Winds: 130 mph
Sunday: Possibly making landfall.. Big Bend my projection. Max Winds: 135 mph
Monday:Crossing through North Florida and Georgia, weakening. Max Winds: 75 mph

DISCLAIMER:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[NC George]

Nice, but incorrect use of the word ramifications. Correct words: development or changes.

The ramifications will come after Dennis strikes land, i.e.: The ramification of Dennis directly hitting Panama City Beach was a massive storm surge and severe wind damage.