Can he drop below 937?

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browe29
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Can he drop below 937?

#1 Postby browe29 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:27 am

With at least another 16+ hours over warm water, can Dennis get stronger?
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:28 am

The Answer is yes. There is a warm eddie just to the northwest of the hurricane if I remember right. Watch it form Black around its eye later tonight.
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#3 Postby Foladar » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:32 am

As much as none of us want to say, he probably can/will
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#4 Postby dhweather » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:32 am

The sky is the limit with this storm, he's resilient and proven.
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#5 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:33 am

Yes. I don't know if it will rapidly deeply again, but I believe this steady strengthening will continue.

I'm guessing it could get to 930 mb.

The eye reminds me a lot of Charley's...tight, compact.

Don't know if it will get deep purple on the IR due to possible ERCs, but I expect the satellite presentation should remain impressive overnight.

We'll just have to see if he gets stronger...
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#6 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:36 am

dhweather wrote:The sky is the limit with this storm, he's resilient and proven.


Amen. Dennis has bucked the trends throughout.
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#7 Postby browe29 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:36 am

dhweather wrote:The sky is the limit with this storm, he's resilient and proven.


Realistically, how big are we talking? 150? More? Is it pulling an Andrew and gonna beef up quickly before striking?
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:38 am

I remember that there was a eddie to the northwest because of when Ivan went over it. Plus the water is much warm near the coast this time because of no Charley,France...So I expect this storm to make landfall as a cat4 hurricane. I expect it could get up near 145 to 150 mph some time today.
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#9 Postby cccmachine » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:39 am

This things lower than 937 now.Its a freaking oven in that eye.
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#10 Postby THead » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:41 am

Nobody knows for sure. The NHC even has trouble with intensity forecasts. It could go either way, remember Lilly a couple years ago, she weakened quite a bit before hitting the northern gulf coast, and she looked darn good (bad) 24 hours or so before landfall. That being said, I don't think I would hang around and find out, if I was anywhere from Miss coast to FWB or so......
Be careful and safe.
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#11 Postby Swimdude » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:43 am

browe29 wrote:
dhweather wrote:The sky is the limit with this storm, he's resilient and proven.


Realistically, how big are we talking? 150? More? Is it pulling an Andrew and gonna beef up quickly before striking?


Beef up? Well, i'll remind you, this was a minimal category 1 earlier this morning, if only for a short period of time. It's already "beefed up" quite a bit. The question is, how much. 150? Yes, possibly.
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#12 Postby cccmachine » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:18 am

935 opps wait make that 934
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#13 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:19 am

Now the question is, will he go below 930....or the real question is....will the pressure ever rise again!!!!!! :(
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#14 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:20 am

He just did go below 937. Why do you think if it goeas below 930 it wont weekaing. Or i may be mis-understanding
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#15 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:20 am

Normandy wrote:Now the question is, will he go below 930....or the real question is....will the pressure ever rise again!!!!!! :(

My personal opinion is that he has peaked. AN ERC will likely take him down to a high cat 3 or low cat 4 and that is what he will landfall as...JMO...anything can happen as this storm so obviously proves.
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#16 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:21 am

Im just wondering if itll landfall higher than 934 mb.
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#17 Postby crazycajuncane » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:23 am

jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Now the question is, will he go below 930....or the real question is....will the pressure ever rise again!!!!!! :(

My personal opinion is that he has peaked. AN ERC will likely take him down to a high cat 3 or low cat 4 and that is what he will landfall as...JMO...anything can happen as this storm so obviously proves.


You sound like Bonnie Schnider on CNN lol

She was stuck on her 140 mph at landfall. All the sudden she gets her paper off the wire and what is this?????? 145 mph winds!

All morning she has downplayed the Cat. 5, but Dennis is playing his own game. Who is to say we won't see 155 mph by the 7 am advisory?

Dennis just gets meaner and meaner.
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#18 Postby Hunter74 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:26 am

Hurricane Cheese wrote:Yes. I don't know if it will rapidly deeply again, but I believe this steady strengthening will continue.

I'm guessing it could get to 930 mb.

The eye reminds me a lot of Charley's...tight, compact.

Don't know if it will get deep purple on the IR due to possible ERCs, but I expect the satellite presentation should remain impressive overnight.

We'll just have to see if he gets stronger...


Cheese bring us some rain to Wisconsin,, better yet a blizzard!!!

Stay safe ya'll
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#19 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:28 am

crazycajuncane wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Now the question is, will he go below 930....or the real question is....will the pressure ever rise again!!!!!! :(

My personal opinion is that he has peaked. AN ERC will likely take him down to a high cat 3 or low cat 4 and that is what he will landfall as...JMO...anything can happen as this storm so obviously proves.


You sound like Bonnie Schnider on CNN lol

She was stuck on her 140 mph at landfall. All the sudden she gets her paper off the wire and what is this?????? 145 mph winds!

All morning she has downplayed the Cat. 5, but Dennis is playing his own game. Who is to say we won't see 155 mph by the 7 am advisory?

Dennis just gets meaner and meaner.

Yeah, I saw that Bonnie girl. She looked rather clueless and focused too much on the 140 mph forecast, that is now invalid, NHC will most likely bring it in as its current intensity at 5 am whatever it is.

Still, NHC is showing the "fluctuations in intensity" phrase now which means ERC will likely dominate intensity forecast.

Like I said, this thing continues to defy so many odds. Anything is possible. This will be major no matter what.
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#20 Postby Hunter74 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:30 am

jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Now the question is, will he go below 930....or the real question is....will the pressure ever rise again!!!!!! :(

My personal opinion is that he has peaked. AN ERC will likely take him down to a high cat 3 or low cat 4 and that is what he will landfall as...JMO...anything can happen as this storm so obviously proves.


I take it your not on the weather channel payroll...
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