96W becomes stronger

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senorpepr
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96W becomes stronger

#1 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 4:50 pm

Well, looks like the WPAC might do something after all...

Image

JTWC has upgraded the area to "fair."

Delta Team at Joint Typhoon Warning Center wrote:(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.0N
154.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 154.1E, APPROXIMATELY 725 NM
EAST OF IWO JIMA. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CONSOL-
IDATING CONVECTION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATED ON A 101921Z QUIKSCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLE-
WARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CY-
CLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.


Invest (NA / 96W) (10/12Z)
Position: 22.1°N 154.9°E (770 miles NE from Saipan, Mariana Islands)
Winds: 15 mph
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5
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BUD
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#2 Postby BUD » Sun Jul 10, 2005 4:58 pm

Anybody got any "No-Doze". :roll:
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texasheat

#3 Postby texasheat » Sun Jul 10, 2005 5:00 pm

looks alot stronger than it is =/
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#4 Postby LCfromFL » Sun Jul 10, 2005 5:00 pm

:37:

Can't find an IV caffeine drip yet, Mike....so here's your first Venti Triple Shot Expresso!
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gkrangers

#5 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 10, 2005 5:02 pm

Bah, we have 98L and another wave off Africa! We don't need no stinkin WPAC and EPAC!
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tim_in_ga
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Re: 96W becomes stronger

#6 Postby tim_in_ga » Sun Jul 10, 2005 5:24 pm

senorpepr wrote:Well, looks like the WPAC might do something after all...


Gotta keep an eye on this for my in-laws in Taiwan.
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#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:12 pm

gkrangers wrote:Bah, we have 98L and another wave off Africa! We don't need no stinkin WPAC and EPAC!


Tell it like it is!

<RICKY>
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#8 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 11, 2005 5:10 am

WTPN21 PGTW 110030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/110021ZJUL05//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A
200 NM RADIUS OF 21.9N 154.3E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAIL-
ABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE
WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25
KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER
IS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 154.3E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.8N
154.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 154.3E, APPROXIMATELY 685 NM
EAST OF IWO JIMA. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
THE CONVECTION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER A WELL DEVELOPED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO
INDICATE A GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL AND AN ENVIRONMENT OF
LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW
UPGRADED TO GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
120030Z.//
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#9 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 11, 2005 5:11 am

Image

Also, behind this wave are 97W and 98W.
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#10 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 11, 2005 5:59 am

Image
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