"Good luck finding a center"

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corpusbreeze
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"Good luck finding a center"

#1 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Jul 11, 2005 6:57 pm

Now it seems the NHC is getting down to Earth on their discussion. It was a good write up, and non pros like myself can relate. Also I think the NHC did another great job on their forecast with Dennis. They are getting better on the 5 day outlook.
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WeatherEmperor
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#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Jul 11, 2005 6:59 pm

Yeah they sure are. I still have a paper print out of their 5 day forecast for Frances last year and exactly 5 days out, they nearly nearly pinpointed the exact spot where Frances did end up making landfall. That is hardcore ladies and gentlemen.

<RICKY>
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#3 Postby Swimdude » Mon Jul 11, 2005 7:03 pm

The Dennis 5-day was AMAZING.

I guess they were trying to make up for Cindy, which was horrible. :lol:
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Weatherboy1
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two centers ... and one now winning?

#4 Postby Weatherboy1 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 7:07 pm

It's only an amateur's opinion, but if I had to guess at what is going on using satellite imagery, I'd say there were probably two weak LLCs or an LLC to the east and a MLC slightly to the west battling it out to be the true center. That could explain why that blob of significant convection went up on the east side of the system earlier this evening (in addition to the main blob).

But in the past few hours, it appears that the secondary, smaller blob is getting "pulled into" the main one. That COULD be a sign 5 is getting her act together, though it's always tough to use IR imagery to figure this stuff out. I think an upgrade may very well wait until visible imagery is available to see if my theory -- or a better one from the NHC -- is right.

-Mike
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#5 Postby weatherwindow » Mon Jul 11, 2005 7:10 pm

i think the rest of the guys at TPC are taking lessons from stacy stewart. now his discussion rule! ...you are absolutely right...that first five day on dennis pretty well nailed it. we are getting our money's worth from those gentlemen. accuweather eat your heart out 8-) ......rich
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Big-Iguana

#6 Postby Big-Iguana » Mon Jul 11, 2005 7:20 pm

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#7 Postby timeflow » Mon Jul 11, 2005 8:47 pm

This QuickScat image makes finding the center a bit easier than those IR loops, hehe. Earlier the SE quadrant had a good arc of winds, but everywhere else was sketchy, and it didn't wrap all the way around. Looks much better now!
Last edited by timeflow on Mon Jul 11, 2005 9:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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texasheat

#8 Postby texasheat » Mon Jul 11, 2005 9:02 pm

NE is the center <3
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pcolaguy

#9 Postby pcolaguy » Mon Jul 11, 2005 9:16 pm

That link strectched out the topic >.<
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timeflow
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#10 Postby timeflow » Mon Jul 11, 2005 9:32 pm

That it did, sorry, that's annoying to me too. Tried to remove and replace it, but resubmitting doesn't seem to work. Just wanted to expand the theme some, not the entire screen, hehe. There must be some solution...
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timeflow
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#11 Postby timeflow » Mon Jul 11, 2005 9:34 pm

It went through after all. Great... now for a leaner link...
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#12 Postby Cape Verde » Mon Jul 11, 2005 9:47 pm

It's officially Emily now. We can quit pussyfooting around.
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Big-Iguana

#13 Postby Big-Iguana » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:15 pm

Long links, then make them a word or a phrase.

Code: Select all

[url=http://www.sample.com]word or phrase here[/url]


Now here's the link to click:scattometer winds
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#14 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:18 pm

So much for that.. Stewart came in and cleaned house. :lol:
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#neversummer

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timeflow
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#15 Postby timeflow » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:46 pm

Thanks! I gave up on that earlier, esp. with the 11pm update distraction...
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#16 Postby Sanibel » Mon Jul 11, 2005 11:29 pm

The Shortwave IR tracks the center almost due west along 11*.



Hmm... :?:
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#17 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 11:32 pm

Sanibel wrote:The Shortwave IR tracks the center almost due west along 11*.



Hmm... :?:



I am talking to a friend about the same thing....haven't payed too much attention to sat today but, i clicked on the forecast points...and so far its about to be on path but, it will have to start turning mor WNW to hit the next point or so....
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