UKMET seeing weakness?

[TheShrimper]

To look quickly at the Caribbean WV loop, one could surmize that the ULL just northwest of the Hatian coast could potentialy draw Emily northward some before continueing on it's wnw trek. It is very complex down there with many interesting features. You can already see the ULL effect on the northern cloud bands of Emily, drawing them up to the northern Leewards. This has to be what the model is picking up on.

[Kludge]

To look quickly at the Caribbean WV loop, one could surmize that the ULL just northwest of the Hatian coast could potentialy draw Emily northward some before continueing on it's wnw trek. It is very complex down there with many interesting features. You can already see the ULL effect on the northern cloud bands of Emily, drawing them up to the northern Leewards. This has to be what the model is picking up on.

If only that silly model where as intuitive as you're giving it credit to be. I think you're objective analysis makes a lot more sense. Let's face it, that model employs algorithms derived from ouiga boards and magic 8-balls to determine tracks.

[Stormcenter]

To look quickly at the Caribbean WV loop, one could surmize that the ULL just northwest of the Hatian coast could potentialy draw Emily northward some before continueing on it's wnw trek. It is very complex down there with many interesting features. You can already see the ULL effect on the northern cloud bands of Emily, drawing them up to the northern Leewards. This has to be what the model is picking up on.

If only that silly model where as intuitive as you're giving it credit to be. I think you're objective analysis makes a lot more sense. Let's face it, that model employs algorithms derived from ouiga boards and magic 8-balls to determine tracks.

Actually the UKMET is very respected model. It is not the NHC's favorite but they do take into account what it spits out.
I wouldn't discount what it is projecting but it is the loner right now so of course everyone will look at it as being lost.

[skysummit]

Well, Carl Aredondo on WWL, Channel 4 in NOLA just pretty much ruled out a Louisiana strike. He said it most likely will not even get into the Central Gulf.

[texasheat]

how can people say that!!! anything can happen good lord

[Stormcenter]

Well, Carl Aredondo on WWL, Channel 4 in NOLA just pretty much ruled out a Louisiana strike. He said it most likely will not even get into the Central Gulf.

Well I guess he's banking on the High staying put. Oh well evrryone is entitled to their opinion. I think he MAY be wrong by stating the ALL CLEAR so soon for LA. when the storm is still many days away from the GOM.

[Ixolib]

Well, Carl Aredondo on WWL, Channel 4 in NOLA just pretty much ruled out a Louisiana strike. He said it most likely will not even get into the Central Gulf.

Yup, heard that too. I think any N.O. met ought to keep these kinds of comments off the air UNTIL they are absolutely sure. Too much at stake for listeners to become complacent...

[mobilebay]

Well, Carl Aredondo on WWL, Channel 4 in NOLA just pretty much ruled out a Louisiana strike. He said it most likely will not even get into the Central Gulf.

Yup, heard that too. I think any N.O. met ought to keep these kinds of comments off the air UNTIL they are absolutely sure. Too much at stake for listeners to become complacent...

If he said that I would go buy supplies NOW!