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cycloneye
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TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN IS REPOSITIONED ALONG 62W S
OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE DUE TO ITS INTERACTION WITH THE MID-OCEANIC
TROUGH OVER THE E CARIBBEAN AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL ELY SURGE.
ANALYSIS OF LONG-TERM SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS VORTICITY
PRODUCTS INDICATES THAT THE WAVE BECAME TILTED FROM THE NW/SE
OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. AS A RESULT...THE N PORTION OF THE WAVE
DETACHED AND ACCELERATED AHEAD OF THE S PORTION OF THE WAVE.
ANALYSIS OF AREA SOUNDINGS SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LOWER TO
MID-LEVEL TROUGH PASSING THE ISLANDS YESTERDAY BUT THIS APPEARS
TO BE A SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE MID-OCEANIC TROUGH WHICH IS
CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA. REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT
POSITION...AMPLE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS
INTERACTING WITH THE MID-OCEANIC TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN AND PRODUCING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER
THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO BUT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO SHEAR.
From Discussion at 2:05 PM.The answer is no.
OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE DUE TO ITS INTERACTION WITH THE MID-OCEANIC
TROUGH OVER THE E CARIBBEAN AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL ELY SURGE.
ANALYSIS OF LONG-TERM SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS VORTICITY
PRODUCTS INDICATES THAT THE WAVE BECAME TILTED FROM THE NW/SE
OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. AS A RESULT...THE N PORTION OF THE WAVE
DETACHED AND ACCELERATED AHEAD OF THE S PORTION OF THE WAVE.
ANALYSIS OF AREA SOUNDINGS SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LOWER TO
MID-LEVEL TROUGH PASSING THE ISLANDS YESTERDAY BUT THIS APPEARS
TO BE A SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE MID-OCEANIC TROUGH WHICH IS
CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA. REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT
POSITION...AMPLE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS
INTERACTING WITH THE MID-OCEANIC TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN AND PRODUCING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER
THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO BUT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO SHEAR.
From Discussion at 2:05 PM.The answer is no.
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