JB this morn....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4430
Age: 44
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

JB this morn....

#1 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:48 pm

Says quote " the party is about to begin for the east coast of the US...Any comments on this new JB Thought?
0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#2 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:49 pm

He also said that Emily would get to 940 before landfall...
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#3 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:49 pm

drezee wrote:He also said that Emily would get to 940 before landfall...


Looking at her now I dont find it hard to believe at all.
0 likes   

jax

#4 Postby jax » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:50 pm

he's usually right...
you gotta give him that...
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#5 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:50 pm

Normandy wrote:
drezee wrote:He also said that Emily would get to 940 before landfall...


Looking at her now I dont find it hard to believe at all.


I second that.

Destruction5... I believe he is talking about how now the threat for TC landfall on the East Coast is going up...
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#6 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:51 pm

Could it be the thing off NC or ex 99L?
0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#7 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:53 pm

He was talking about his hurricane forecast for the year
0 likes   

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4430
Age: 44
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#8 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:54 pm

yoda wrote:
Normandy wrote:
drezee wrote:He also said that Emily would get to 940 before landfall...


Looking at her now I dont find it hard to believe at all.


I second that.

Destruction5... I believe he is talking about how now the threat for TC landfall on the East Coast is going up...


I agree but do you all?
0 likes   

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#9 Postby Lindaloo » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:57 pm

He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?
0 likes   

User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#10 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:01 pm

Lindaloo wrote:He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?


I was about to ask the same thing.
0 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#11 Postby Steve » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:02 pm

>>He also said that Emily would get to 940 before landfall...

I didn't hear him say that at all. I heard him say that was the lowest he could see her getting.

>>He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?

He said his updated landfall intensity forecast would shift the largest threat to the east coast of the US (presumably due to the SSTA's) but said he wasn't saying the Gulf would be closed down for the rest of the year.

Steve
0 likes   

MWatkins
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2574
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:51 pm
Location: SE Florida
Contact:

#12 Postby MWatkins » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:07 pm

Lindaloo wrote:He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?


Because....that's where most of the subscribers live?

MW
0 likes   
Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#13 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:08 pm

MWatkins wrote:
Lindaloo wrote:He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?


Because....that's where most of the subscribers live?

MW


Aw Mike, he'd NEVER try to use FEAR to sell his products, would he?
0 likes   

N2Storms
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 324
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:37 pm
Location: Panama City, Florida

#14 Postby N2Storms » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:08 pm

He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?



His accent should give y'all a hint...
0 likes   

User avatar
JenBayles
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3461
Age: 62
Joined: Tue Aug 26, 2003 3:27 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

#15 Postby JenBayles » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:12 pm

MWatkins wrote:
Lindaloo wrote:He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?


Because....that's where most of the subscribers live?

MW


:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#16 Postby Steve » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:12 pm

>>Because....that's where most of the subscribers live?

Personally, I think as Mods, you guys should be above that kind of stuff.

As for bias, the bias was on the North Central, North Eastern and Southwestern FL coasts for the season. Unfortunately people try as hard as possible to twist everything Bastardi says into a bash thereby trying to make him look bad. Problem is, it's usually the people doing the bashing that end up being seen through like plastic wrap by those of us who actualyl pay attention to these things. JMO

Steve
0 likes   

jax

#17 Postby jax » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:16 pm

MWatkins wrote:
Lindaloo wrote:He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?


Because....that's where most of the subscribers live?

MW


tisk tisk tisk....
0 likes   

jax

#18 Postby jax » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:17 pm

dhweather wrote:
MWatkins wrote:
Lindaloo wrote:He has an east coast bias. Anyone know why?


Because....that's where most of the subscribers live?

MW


Aw Mike, he'd NEVER try to use FEAR to sell his products, would he?


maybe he's using DATA to support his theory... hmmm....
0 likes   

StormCircus
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 5
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:28 pm
Location: Houston
Contact:

Joe B. is very, very good

#19 Postby StormCircus » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:36 pm

To set the record straight, Joe Bastardi was predicting that Emily would landfall just south of Brownsville while she was still down around Jamaica. No one is correct 100% of the time with regard to landfall and intensity, especially when they're pretty far out, however JB gets pretty darn close on nearly everything. There is a reason why he's in such demand. I'm curious about his quote about the east coast though. Where did you see that quote?
0 likes   

jax

Re: Joe B. is very, very good

#20 Postby jax » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:40 pm

StormCircus wrote:To set the record straight, Joe Bastardi was predicting that Emily would landfall just south of Brownsville while she was still down around Jamaica. No one is correct 100% of the time with regard to landfall and intensity, especially when they're pretty far out, however JB gets pretty darn close on nearly everything. There is a reason why he's in such demand. I'm curious about his quote about the east coast though. Where did you see that quote?


it's in regards to his "Deviation Ranking" it's a ranking that he gives
each section of coastline... He targeted the Central LA coast over to
Destin as the prime target area this year... over a month ago. He's
calling these hit locations MONTHS in advance... and hitting the Bulls
eye...
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 153 guests