GOM X 2 ??

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jax

GOM X 2 ??

#1 Postby jax » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:51 pm

With the NHC suggesting both areas have potential for
development AND the NHC suggesting the SW Carib disturbance
being in the BOC in 2 to 3 days AND both BAMD and BAMM models
forcasting a treck of 90L across FL and into the Middle GOM...

Possible 2 storms in the GOM fighting for air supremacy... YIKES

I would have to think that "if" this were to occur... they would
likely beat each other up... minimal development...

WOW though!
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#2 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:55 pm

plus there is a nice-size tropical wave off of Africa... the possibility does exist for 3 tropical cyclones to be in the Atlantic at the same time Sunday or Monday
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#3 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:04 pm

This has happened before with Edouard and Fay in 2002. Fay was much larger than Edouard and sheared him to death......eventually Edouard got absorbed into Fay's circulation.
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Steve
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#4 Postby Steve » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:06 pm

>>This has happened before with Edouard and Fay in 2002. Fay was much larger than Edouard and sheared him to death......eventually Edouard got absorbed into Fay's circulation.

I was downtown while we were getting a feeder band from Fay, and BAM, the rain came down in buckets. I went back to a long IR loop and saw that it was some remants of Edouard that had gotten entrained. We got like 3" in < an hour.

Steve
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#5 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:11 pm

do you think that the SW Carib TW will be an invest soon?
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jax

#6 Postby jax » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:20 pm

i would imagine that the 5:30 TWO will imply recon possible...
we will see...

This is all unbelievable... 5 storms in the GOM already...
and possibly 2 more before the end of July !!!
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#7 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:30 pm

The NW carib is getting more and more interesting. I know the "axis" might be over central America but it's hard to ignore the comma like signature the convection over water is taking. If it hasn't poofed by tonight we might just have development in the NW carib. as opposed to the BOC. I'm shocked at how much the tropics have heated up in 1 1/2 days!
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#8 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:34 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:The NW carib is getting more and more interesting. I know the "axis" might be over central America but it's hard to ignore the comma like signature the convection over water is taking. If it hasn't poofed by tonight we might just have development in the NW carib. as opposed to the BOC. I'm shocked at how much the tropics have heated up in 1 1/2 days!


I agree, the comma feature is becoming very pronounced. Much like 90L last night. Secondly, the outflow is looking like 90L on yesterday. Twins!!!!! :P :P
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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