UNOFFICIAL...Franklin Forecast 1; hurricane in 72; slow

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ncweatherwizard
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UNOFFICIAL...Franklin Forecast 1; hurricane in 72; slow

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Thu Jul 21, 2005 9:01 pm

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 1:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... nklin.html

Difficult forecast--difficult track, therefore, difficult intensity. I move slowly; if it doesn't move much within the first 48 hours, then it'll likely drift around; however, if the ridges gets hold of it, the movement could be more distinct to the north. Slow easterly movement after 72 hours, Cat 1 hurricane by end. Really, this is a compromise forecast if anything; maybe I'll end up lucky. :D

Scott
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EDR1222
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#2 Postby EDR1222 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:28 pm

Good analysis. Definately looks like it could get really complicated.
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caplan1
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#3 Postby caplan1 » Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:44 pm

I agree. As much as I enjoy tracking them, I hope it goes out to sea and stay there!
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