Franklin naked swirl starting to move WSW now?

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LarryWx
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Franklin naked swirl starting to move WSW now?

#1 Postby LarryWx » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:18 pm

Looking at visible sat. loops, it looks to me like the nearly naked swirl of Franklin has stalled and in fact may be starting to slowly turn WSW. Any comments?
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Normandy
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#2 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:21 pm

Its moving south....but does it really have anything left in it?
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#3 Postby dhweather » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:22 pm

wxman57 said the same in the advisory thread.

he posted great satellite photos too!
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#4 Postby ALhurricane » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:24 pm

It's pretty much getting a good ole fashion convective haircut (sheared to pieces.) The low level center is meandering at the moment...maybe drifting a little to the SW. As was said the advisory board, unless it can get some convection over the center fairly soon, Franklin will not be with us much longer.
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#5 Postby Sanibel » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:28 pm

I think the return flow around the ridge entering after the trough has it and it is turning around...
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#6 Postby Ixolib » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:30 pm

Sanibel wrote:I think the return flow around the ridge entering after the trough has it and it is turning around...


Around as in "spinning" or around as in "changing direction"?
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#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:31 pm

I think ALhurricane is right. If Franklin doesnt get some convection over the center soon, it may meet its demise.

<RICKY>
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:40 pm

Changing direction.


The man with the hockey mask avatar has it right...
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#9 Postby Ixolib » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:44 pm

Sanibel wrote:Changing direction.


The man with the hockey mask avatar has it right...


You talkin' bout mike18xx? Is that what that is? Interesting....
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#10 Postby Steve » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:19 pm

What will truly be interesting is to see what motion the NHC gives Franklin at 8pm CDT. I know they often give an average of 6 hour movement (qualified by sometimes noting "recent movement), but will they stay with 50/60/70* @ 8/9mph or will they show the southerly motion.

Steve
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#11 Postby caplan1 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:19 pm

I think mike18xx has been saying this for a few days now. Im starting to become a believer in it.
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Jim Cantore

#12 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:34 pm

I'm seeing a jog to the south now

Look at the floater


It does appear EXTREMELY disorginzed though so I dont think it will be a major threat if it winds up hitting somewhere
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Re: Franklin naked swirl starting to move WSW now?

#13 Postby Astro_man92 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:36 pm

LarryWx wrote:Looking at visible sat. loops, it looks to me like the nearly naked swirl of Franklin has stalled and in fact may be starting to slowly turn WSW. Any comments?


ya show me

sorry that i'm disagreeing but franklin has been moving in the oppisite dirrestion that u guys have been saying

proof: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200506.asp
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#14 Postby baitism » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:37 pm

Its just getting sheared. If it got into a more favorable environment it could still strengthen steadily.
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#15 Postby Agua » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:52 pm

Holy cow it IS moving SSW.
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#16 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:54 pm

The 00z models also just came out and show a different set of solutions.

<RICKY>

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm
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#17 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:57 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:The 00z models also just came out and show a different set of solutions.

<RICKY>

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm



looks like a pile of mess
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#18 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:00 pm

ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:The 00z models also just came out and show a different set of solutions.

<RICKY>

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm



looks like a pile of mess


exactly. Could they be starting to hint towards us that they are now feeling that Franklin will not be pulled away by that trough afterall?

<RICKY>
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#19 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:03 pm

Carolinas/NE FL threat if this continues??
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#20 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:04 pm

I dunno TampaBayhurricane. Im just very curious what the NHC has to say about all this come 11pm.

<RICKY>
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