Look at the loop and you can see thunderstorms flaring up around the center. I think we are going to have a new and improved TS Irene at the 5 pm update.
heres the link http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Irene continues to grow in size and looks to be intensifying
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ThunderMate
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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MiamiensisWx
It looks like Irene is potentially intensifying because of the apparently moister water vapor environment and less shear, which allows for better outflow and related organization.
However, Irene might be limited - or weaken slightly - because of the thin trough that appears to be dropping slightly right out ahead of her. The trough might result on some shearing of the system.
However, Irene might be limited - or weaken slightly - because of the thin trough that appears to be dropping slightly right out ahead of her. The trough might result on some shearing of the system.
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ThunderMate
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PTrackerLA
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I'll agree that it does look more organized on the visible loop, but, the IR loop is more revealing, and also shows the northerly shear to the west.
Click on http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html to view.
Frank
P.S. In addition, the area of strongest convection near the circulation center is dropping southward - not an indicator of strengthening.
Click on http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html to view.
Frank
P.S. In addition, the area of strongest convection near the circulation center is dropping southward - not an indicator of strengthening.
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Wacahootaman
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I dont like the looks of this!
I dont know a durn thing about forcasting where it is going or how intense it is gonna be, but the way my luck has been running, it is gonna hit Florida.
I still am recovering from last year!
I do remember that Andrew about fell apart and then got it toghther after that and slammed into south Florida on the south side of a high pressure ridge.
I guess it all depends on wether a ridge forms to the north of Irene or not and builds west.
Actually one of the worst thing about these storms is all the mental energy you spend focusing on them when they threaten you. Sometimes is mesmerizes you for weeks!
I dont know a durn thing about forcasting where it is going or how intense it is gonna be, but the way my luck has been running, it is gonna hit Florida.
I still am recovering from last year!
I do remember that Andrew about fell apart and then got it toghther after that and slammed into south Florida on the south side of a high pressure ridge.
I guess it all depends on wether a ridge forms to the north of Irene or not and builds west.
Actually one of the worst thing about these storms is all the mental energy you spend focusing on them when they threaten you. Sometimes is mesmerizes you for weeks!
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WindRunner
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:It looks sad to me. That system in the Eastern Pacific looks very strong.
accidently clicked on the wrong floater when I got home this evening...I was thinking "WOW D@mn that thing is rockin" Until I looked at the LAT/Long and realized that I was looking at the wrong floater..
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jabber
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mahicks wrote:Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:It looks sad to me. That system in the Eastern Pacific looks very strong.
accidently clicked on the wrong floater when I got home this evening...I was thinking "WOW D@mn that thing is rockin" Until I looked at the LAT/Long and realized that I was looking at the wrong floater..
Yes, thats a storm...... Irene live or die... but make a choice already. hate naked swirls devoid of convection. Ok I am going to bed.
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weatherwindow
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altho this may qualify for a heaping helping of crow for breakfast tomorrow morning, i think we witnessing the end of this system...i dont think it can survive this drop-dead killer shear this evening. the sudden surge of shear was a bit of a surprise. check out the floater 2 IR loop.....rich
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