Landfall at . . .

[WindRunner]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Irene has three possibilities from my point of view. One, a NC/Outer Banks hit. I see that as the best chance assuming intensification to a cat1+, which should be what happens. Two, she could hit in the Savanah area, plus or minus about 70 miles. This would happen if she were to only intensify to a strong TS. And three, if she barely intensifies or this ridge builds in like crazy, then we could see landfall around Melbourne, plus or minus 100 miles. Which would be your choice?


Note: Percentages on map are my opinions.

[storms in NC]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Irene has three possibilities from my point of view. One, a NC/Outer Banks hit. I see that as the best chance assuming intensification to a cat1+, which should be what happens. Two, she could hit in the Savanah area, plus or minus about 70 miles. This would happen if she were to only intensify to a strong TS. And three, if she barely intensifies or this ridge builds in like crazy, then we could see landfall around Melbourne, plus or minus 100 miles. Which would be your choice?


Note: Percentages on map are my opinions.

none of the Above SC/ NC border is my guess

[tallbunch]

then the outer banks would be your guess...not none of the above.

[WindRunner]

then the outer banks would be your guess...not none of the above.

Yes, and MWatkins has a thread going that I just saw, and it supports the Outer Banks thought.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=70226

[WindRunner]

*bump*

[dwg71]

Other, Fish, I cant change tune.

[Tommedic]

If center is further SW as noted in discussion, then I believe between Charleston and Morehead City, NC. This involves a turn to NW or NNW just prior to landfall.

[WindRunner]

Could a mod add a "Charleston to Wilmington" option, please?

[Canelaw99]

I voted other because I"m thinking more of a SC hit...Outer Banks is NC in my book, but then I'm a NC girl

[gpickett00]

your map only added up to 90%. Also why were there spaces? much of the boarder wasnt covered

[WindRunner]

your map only added up to 90%. Also why were there spaces? much of the boarder wasnt covered

First, 50%+40%+10%=100%. Second, I feel that those three areas are the most likely for landfall. I now see that many tend to have other feelings, but that's what they are entitled too.

[Jim Cantore]

none of them

Between morehead city and wilmington

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

You're missing "New England" and "Fish" options.

Although I say North Carolina as well.

[Swimdude]

Outer Banks.

[Sanibel]

You initialized the center too far south. It is up in the NW edge of the convection according to NHC.

Wait until the High shows up or not...

[superfly]

<img src="http://img240.imageshack.us/img240/251/track2bd.jpg">

[Sanibel]

LOL

[Jim Cantore]

[wxwatcher91]

hey! you didnt put a disclaimer! now people might think that that is the official forecast track of the NHC

[RU4REAL]

you mean it's NOT for real???