Official: Hrcn Irene

[senorpepr]

HURRICANE IRENE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
630 PM AST SUN AUG 14 2005

REPORTS FROM A AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT IRENE HAS STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW A HURRICANE. AT 2144 UTC...
THE AIRCRAFT MEASURED A WIND OF 81 KT AT 850 MB...WHICH CORRESPONDS
TO A SURFACE ESTIMATE OF 65 KT...OR 75 MPH. ON THIS BASIS...IRENE
IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE.

BECAUSE THIS STRENGTHENING WAS ANTICIPATED...NO SPECIAL ADVISORY IS
REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


*This was also posted in the official advisory thread, but I posted this here to highlight the upgrade. Feel free to lock this thread.*

[Buck]

Hurrah!

[WeatherEmperor]

alright! now that puts it at 3 hurricanes.

<RICKY>

[Andrew92]

Irene (on August 12): I think I can! I think I can!

Irene (tonight): I DID IT!!! I'm finally a hurricane!

[artist]

<img src="http://216.77.188.54/coDataImages/p/Groups/242/242637/folders/206854/1645931HurIrene08-14-05.jpg" width="470" height="313">

here is the link for the very latest images -


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... RGB/20.jpg

[hurricanefreak1988]

And the cinderella story of the season continues. Even though she didn't (and probably won't) hit land, she has fought back from near-death to become a hurricane. Maybe T.D. Ten could learn a thing or two from Irene.

[senorpepr]

And the cinderella story of the season continues. Even though she didn't (and probably won't) hit land, she has fought back from near-death to become a hurricane. Maybe T.D. Ten could learn a thing or two from Irene.

Stacy Stewart said it best...

THE DEPRESSION IS BEGINNING TO LOOK LIKE IRENE-JUNIOR AS IT
UNDERGOES SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL SHEAR BENEATH THE OTHERWISE
FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN.

[hurricanefreak1988]

Haha, I saw that. The question is, can T.D. Ten live up to that nickname and come back from the dead? We shall see in a couple of days.

[Brent]

[Swimdude]

FINALLY!!

I wasn't going to stand for another 70 mph TS this quickly...

9/3/2!

[shaggy]

whats more important is that she did in fact turn.This wasn't forecast to be near the NC coast until Tuesday sometime when the track was more west towards the coast.Her slowdown never really occured and she would have made landfall either this evening or early tomorrow which was earlier and with less time to evacuate so this could have been a bad situation for NC had she not turned


Just saved the last good Vis shot as my background since she out of the NC coast it was a good shot to save

[Jim Cantore]

Finally after a life of struggle and hard fighting

One of the models I believe the GFDL predicted a Cat 4 in 96 hours (24 hours ago)

one word

BUST!

[Jim Cantore]

In fact here it is

[Hyperstorm]

People are always mislead by the GFDL strength forecast. That is NOT a surface wind forecast, but rather a 950 MB wind forecast. You need to make a conversion to surface winds. In this case, the GFDL forecasted a 90 kt hurricane, which is the same as 105 mph, or Category 2.

Although it will probably not materializ, it is NOT as great of a difference as what people might believe.

BTW, if the system takes the forecast path of the GFDL, it will remain on the leading edge of the warm Gulf Stream and the cold North Atlantic. Usually, these sharp water temperature contrasts, lead to some significant strengthening. Hurricanes Humberto in 2001 and Alex in 2004 come to mind...

[jabber]

The little engine that could... now go away and die a peaceful death. Been following this one for to long.

[Jim Cantore]

thanks for mentioning that I did not know that

Still not getting to 105 though

[Stephanie]

Irene (on August 12): I think I can! I think I can!

Irene (tonight): I DID IT!!! I'm finally a hurricane!

[HurricaneBill]

And the "I" streak continues........

[artist]

check out the recon thread...

[Jim Cantore]

8 years in a row I storm Hurricanes

In fact the last time there was an I storm in the atlantic that DIDN'T become a hurricane was 1989 when Iris failed to but since.....


1990 Isidore fish cat 2 max 100mph
1991 no I storm
1992 no I storm
1993 no I storm
1994 no I storm
1995 Iris Many islands ranging from 45-65mph Max 110mph
1996 Isidore Fish cat 3 max 115mph
1997 no I storm
Ivan 1998 fish cat 1 max 95mph
Irene 1999 Cuba 70mph FL 75mph damage I dont know deaths I dont know max 110mph
Issac 2000 Fish cat 4 max 140mph
Iris 2001 Belize cat 4 145mph 35-50 deaths max 145mph
Isidore 2002 LA 65mph 200 million in U.S max 125mph
Isabel 2003 NC cat 2 100mph 2 billion dollars 40 deaths Max 160mph
Ivan 2004 Grenada 120mph, Jamaca 155mph, Caymans 165mph, Cuba 160mph, AL 125mph, 13 Billion in U.S over 100 deaths world wide (50 in U.S) possibly one of the worst hurricanes EVER
Irene 2005 Fish cat ?
2006 Issac??????

Amazing streak though