Central/SW/Western Caribbean disturbance thread

[rockyman]

Well...this thread might not take off...but Dr Steve Lyons just really focused on the blow up in the central Caribbean and made it sound like the system could come together...said that the upper low "pulled" up low pressure off of South America and that a "sharp trough" had formed in the central Caribbean...plus he mentioned another area in the SW Carib as another potential area...Anybody catch this Tropical Update (8:50pm central time)?

Went back with my TIVO and have a couple of more quotes: "There are a couple of interesting hotspots...one is spinning up very quickly in the Caribbean...make sure system persists for at least 12 to 24 hours before getting too worried...keep an eye on this one very carefully...right now not moving much at all"

[Ivanhater]

yes just watched it, he sounded more concerned than earlier

[ohiostorm]

Lots of people starting to mention the CAR that I have talked to.

[dwg71]

Lots of people starting to mention the CAR that I have talked to.

because there is not anything else...

[deltadog03]

dang it...i missed it...i will try to watch him in like 40 min....this is what JB was talking about earlier today in his video update

[ohiostorm]

Lots of people starting to mention the CAR that I have talked to.

because there is not anything else...

Basically, but like I've said before.... insanity awaits. And no I'm not wishing a storm on anyone.

[deltadog03]

wasn't the canadian and the nogaps showing a storm into TX on the runs this morning??

[ROCK]

wasn't the canadian and the nogaps showing a storm into TX on the runs this morning??

STX upper MX coast ala Emily.

[rockyman]

If this system moves a little further west, it will get into an area of lower (and decreasing) shear:

[artist]

if you run an ir loop you will see a cir center move up under the cold cloud tops.
click on the high tops there and run an 8 loop image.
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

also pressures in the area have dropped. noticed this all about 2 hours ago.

[ROCK]

if you run an ir loop you will see a cir center move up under the cold cloud tops.
click on the high tops there and run an 8 loop image.
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

also pressures in the area have dropped. noticed this all about 2 hours ago.

I agree. Seems like a broad area of low pressure with some evidence of circulation. Good eyes. Lets see if it sticks around tomorrow....

[jasons2k]

wasn't the canadian and the nogaps showing a storm into TX on the runs this morning??

Yessir, and I think the Euro did yesterday.

There was a thread going on this yesterday and one earlier today too, maybe this one will stick

[beachbum_al]

Since I am so tired and really need to go to bed because I got to get up tomorrow morning and be alert for 22 little ones if something happens and I need to know let me know. Here is my number...XXXXXXXXXXX
and my email address


See I am so tired that I can't even write like a human being. I have forgotten what a sentence is up above.

[caribepr]

Lots of people starting to mention the CAR that I have talked to.

because there is not anything else...

...or maybe, because that is what we do this time of year...

[LaBreeze]

Local met said this evening that if anything were to stir up in the W. Carib. that it would move westward and the GOM would not have to deal with it at this time. Is this what others are saying?

[Hurricaneman]

I think that carribean wave will be Jose instead of Ex-td10

[southerngreen]

If this system moves a little further west, it will get into an area of lower (and decreasing) shear:

[img]http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8sht.GIF [/img]

rockyman, great map/ link but i don't like what i'm seeing.
the carribean has been stewing for days and we (central florida) haven't had our "normal" afternoon thunderstorms in over a week. (dangerous cloud to ground lightening, nickel size hail and chance of tornados is a given on any afternoon from april to september)
i knew it was too quiet.

[ConvergenceZone]

It's so discustingly dead out there that right now the Carib is the only thing I"m interested in. I've pretty much given up on TD10. Even if TD develops into a depression or storm, so what?. That development isn't worthy of the frustration it has caused. Bring on the Carrib Sea!!!!!

[ConvergenceZone]

and while I don't want to jump on the "it's over" bandwagon, I will say that every day that goes by diminishes the chance of this being a record season. Time is running out for that, but I still think that September will bring us some storms with may be a couple of more in October before it's all said and done.

[Hurricaneman]

and while I don't want to jump on the "it's over" bandwagon, I will say that every day that goes by diminishes the chance of this being a record season. Time is running out for that, but I still think that September will bring us some storms with may be a couple of more in October before it's all said and done.

You may be right